Economic and revenue growth
Fast facts
Economic and revenue growth
Improving eductational outcomes and narrowing educational achievement gaps would significantly
increase economic growth and raise government revenues.
Bronze
Scenario 1: If the U.S. matches the OECD average
math and science achievement score 2050 2075
GDP would be 1 .796 tug' her 5.8961righer
$2.5 trillion The cumulative increase in present value GDP would be 514 trillion
The cumulative increase in present value government revenues would be $902 billion 55.2 trillion
Silver
Scenario 2: If the U.S. matches the Canadian
average math and science achievement score 2050 2075
GDP would be 6.796higher 24.596higher
$110 trillion The cumulative increase in present value GDP would be $57.4 trillion
The cumulative increase in present value government revenues would be $3.6 trillion s21.5 trillion
Gold
Scenario 3: If the U.S. matches the average math
and science achievement score of the most
advantaged quarter of U.S. students 2050 2075
GDP would be 1 0%higher
s14.7trillion 37.7%higher
586.5 trillion The cumulative Increase in present value GDP would be
The cumulative increase in present value government revenues would be $5.3 trillion 4s32.. trillion
Wage of 2
EFTA01207372
The consequences: annual economic and revenue growth
The average annual increases in present value GDP and government revenue indicate the size of public
investments that would pay for themselves in the form of GDP growth or tax revenues over the next 35
(by 2050) and 60 years (by 2075).
Size of additional annual public investments in education that would pay for themselves in
the form of
GDP growth per year Government revenues per year
V
V Af Over 35 years Over 60 years Over 35 years Over 60 years
72 illion .5234 billion $26 billion $87 billion
5285 billion 5956 biilion • .. 5 102 billion 5358 billion
5420 billion 51.4 trillion 5150 billion $540 billion
For example
OECD avera e (Bronze scenario)
each and every year for the next 35 years. Thus, we should be
year for the next 35 years to raise U.S. achievement scores up to the OECD average. if investments were made that raised U.S. math and science achievement scores up to the
, then the U.S. would experience 572 billion more in GDP growth
willing to invest up to
Economic inequality reductions 72 billion per
Raising academic achievement and narrowing educational achievement gaps would also reduce
income inequality by raising the lifetime earnings of the poorest 75 percent of children more than they
raise the lifetime earnings of the richest 25 percent of children.
Increases in lifetime earnings for children once reforms are fully phased in.
V
V Poorest 4thSecond poorest 4'h Third poorest 4'h Richest 4111
4.396 4.396 4.396 0.0%
10.99611.5968.596 6.4%
22.0% 17.0% 9.396 0.0%
Note: Under the bronze and gold SCV1/1001tte model atones this the kites: owner of &Wren eapenence no Immoyerrere in educator.* outcome and de don no
resomment In Were <emelt gae n an, reforms that raise the educational ounanesd tie bottom three omen nell also raise the academic Dion" and 'here earn-
ings dthe top quarter d chidreft rho the model inderstates a-ceases In 'Mime earnings.
44.1.•.•
2IPage of 2
EFTA01207373