Polls

National & State Election Polls with Pollster Ratings

National Polls (Live via RealClearPolitics)

Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) Approve 38.9% vs Disapprove 60.0% -21.1 ?
Pollster Rating Date Approve Disapprove Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/28 - 10/19 38.9% 60.0% -21.1 —
Reuters/Ipsos NR 10/16 - 10/19 34.0% 65.0% -31.0 1269 RV
Morning Consult B 10/16 - 10/18 42.0% 56.0% -14.0 2202 RV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/12 - 10/18 43.0% 55.0% -12.0 1500 LV
NBC News Decision Desk NR 9/28 - 10/12 39.0% 61.0% -22.0 18061 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 10/10 - 10/12 39.0% 60.0% -21.0 1184 LV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/11 - 10/15 43.0% 56.0% -13.0 1500 LV
ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos NR 10/9 - 10/13 38.0% 62.0% -24.0 2032 LV
FOX News NR 10/9 - 10/12 36.0% 64.0% -28.0 1202 RV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/8 - 10/14 43.0% 56.0% -13.0 1500 LV
Morning Consult B 10/9 - 10/11 42.0% 56.0% -14.0 2204 RV
AP/NORC** NR 10/8 - 10/12 36.0% 64.0% -28.0 925 RV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/7 - 10/13 42.0% 57.0% -15.0 1500 LV
RMG Research B+ 10/5 - 10/13 41.0% 58.0% -17.0 2000 RV
Center Square/NPI** NR 10/5 - 10/7 43.0% 55.0% -12.0 2527 RV
Trump Approval - Economy Approve 34.0% vs Disapprove 63.4% -29.4 ?
Pollster Rating Date Approve Disapprove Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/2 - 10/13 34.0% 63.4% -29.4 —
ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos NR 10/9 - 10/13 32.0% 67.0% -35.0 2032 RV
FOX News NR 10/9 - 10/12 29.0% 70.0% -41.0 1202 RV
Morning Consult B 10/9 - 10/11 38.0% 56.0% -18.0 2204 RV
Financial Times NR 10/3 - 10/6 30.0% 56.0% -26.0 2275 LV
Morning Consult B 10/2 - 10/4 37.0% 57.0% -20.0 2203 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/30 - 10/5 30.0% 63.0% -33.0 3,526 RV
CBS News * NR 9/30 - 10/2 34.0% 66.0% -32.0 2164 A
Harvard-Harris NR 9/26 - 9/28 37.0% 63.0% -26.0 2200 RV
Morning Consult B 9/25 - 9/27 37.0% 56.0% -19.0 2203 RV
Quinnipiac NR 9/24 - 9/27 31.0% 65.0% -34.0 1032 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/17 - 9/20 27.0% 67.0% -40.0 979 RV
Morning Consult B 9/18 - 9/20 38.0% 56.0% -18.0 2203 RV
CNN * A 9/16 - 9/17 28.0% 71.0% -43.0 867 RV
RMG Research* NR 9/14 - 9/15 39.0% 57.0% -18.0 1000 RV
Trump Approval - Foreign Policy Approve 35.0% vs Disapprove 61.2% -26.2 ?
Pollster Rating Date Approve Disapprove Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/2 - 10/12 35.0% 61.2% -26.2 —
FOX News NR 10/9 - 10/12 35.0% 64.0% -29.0 1202 RV
Financial Times NR 10/3 - 10/6 32.0% 53.0% -21.0 2275 LV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/30 - 10/5 32.0% 59.0% -27.0 3,526 RV
Harvard-Harris NR 9/26 - 9/28 40.0% 60.0% -20.0 2200 RV
Quinnipiac NR 9/24 - 9/27 34.0% 62.0% -28.0 1032 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 9/19 - 9/22 36.0% 62.0% -26.0 980 LV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/17 - 9/20 31.0% 60.0% -29.0 979 RV
CNN * A 9/16 - 9/17 30.0% 70.0% -40.0 867 RV
Big Data Poll C 9/13 - 9/15 39.0% 58.0% -19.0 2633 LV
FOX News NR 9/11 - 9/14 37.0% 61.0% -24.0 1211 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/11 - 9/14 34.0% 61.0% -27.0 896 RV
Marquette NR 9/2 - 9/9 37.0% 63.0% -26.0 581 LV
Quinnipiac NR 9/3 - 9/6 33.0% 60.0% -27.0 970 RV
Financial Times NR 8/28 - 9/2 29.0% 54.0% -25.0 1904 RV
Trump Approval - Immigration Approve 44.2% vs Disapprove 53.5% -9.3 ?
Pollster Rating Date Approve Disapprove Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/2 - 10/13 44.2% 53.5% -9.3 —
ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos NR 10/9 - 10/13 42.0% 57.0% -15.0 2032 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 10/10 - 10/12 44.0% 53.0% -9.0 1176 LV
FOX News NR 10/9 - 10/12 43.0% 56.0% -13.0 1202 RV
Morning Consult B 10/9 - 10/11 47.0% 46.0% +1.0 2204 RV
NBC News Decision Desk NR 9/28 - 10/12 43.0% 57.0% -14.0 19135 A
Financial Times NR 10/3 - 10/6 45.0% 45.0% +0.0 2275 LV
Morning Consult B 10/2 - 10/4 46.0% 48.0% -2.0 2203 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/30 - 10/5 42.0% 52.0% -10.0 3,526 RV
Harvard-Harris NR 9/26 - 9/28 48.0% 52.0% -4.0 2200 RV
Morning Consult B 9/25 - 9/27 45.0% 48.0% -3.0 2203 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 9/19 - 9/22 40.0% 59.0% -19.0 975 LV
Morning Consult B 9/18 - 9/20 48.0% 47.0% +1.0 2203 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/17 - 9/20 42.0% 53.0% -11.0 979 RV
CNN * A 9/16 - 9/17 41.0% 59.0% -18.0 867 RV
Direction of Country Right Direction 31.8% vs Wrong Track 62.9% -31.1 ?
Pollster Rating Date Right Direction Wrong Track Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/7 - 10/13 31.8% 62.9% -31.1 —
NBC News Decision Desk NR 9/28 - 10/12 29.0% 71.0% -42.0 19135 A
ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos NR 10/9 - 10/13 29.0% 70.0% -41.0 2032 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 10/10 - 10/12 29.0% 65.0% -36.0 1184 LV
Cygnal B+ 10/7 - 10/10 32.0% 63.0% -31.0 1500 LV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/4 - 10/8 33.0% 61.0% -28.0 1788 LV
Economist/YouGov NR 10/2 - 10/5 31.0% 63.0% -32.0 1181 LV
Rasmussen Reports NR 9/27 - 10/1 35.0% 60.0% -25.0 1782 LV
Harvard-Harris NR 9/26 - 9/28 35.0% 56.0% -21.0 2200 RV
Economist/YouGov NR 9/25 - 9/28 30.0% 65.0% -35.0 1007 LV
Rasmussen Reports NR 9/21 - 9/25 37.0% 58.0% -21.0 1847 LV
Economist/YouGov NR 9/19 - 9/22 29.0% 67.0% -38.0 982 LV
Wall Street Journal NR 9/16 - 9/21 27.0% 68.0% -41.0 1500 RV
Reuters/Ipsos NR 9/17 - 9/20 19.0% 68.0% -49.0 979 RV
Quantus Insights NR 9/15 - 9/18 35.0% 60.0% -25.0 1389 LV
2026 Generic Congressional Vote Democrats 50.9% vs Republicans 42.3% +8.6 ?
Pollster Rating Date Democrats Republicans Margin Sample
RCP Average AVG 9/28 - 10/19 50.9% 42.3% +8.6 —
Reuters/Ipsos NR 10/16 - 10/19 47.0% 35.0% +12.0 1269 RV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/8 - 10/14 48.0% 44.0% +4.0 1789 LV
FOX News NR 10/9 - 10/12 54.0% 45.0% +9.0 1202 RV
NBC News Decision Desk NR 9/28 - 10/12 55.0% 45.0% +10.0 17649 RV
RMG Research** NR 10/12 - 10/13 54.0% 43.0% +11.0 LV
Economist/YouGov NR 10/10 - 10/12 49.0% 41.0% +8.0 1176 LV
ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos NR 10/9 - 10/13 52.0% 44.0% +8.0 2032 LV
AP/NORC** NR 10/8 - 10/12 47.0% 38.0% +9.0 925 RV
Morning Consult B 10/5 - 10/11 50.0% 43.0% +7.0 17654 LV
Cygnal B+ 10/7 - 10/10 51.0% 42.0% +9.0 1500 LV
NewsNation B 10/5 - 10/9 49.0% 42.0% +7.0 974 LV
Center Square/NPI** NR 10/5 - 10/7 47.0% 42.0% +5.0 2527 RV
Financial Times NR 10/3 - 10/6 52.0% 44.0% +8.0 2275 LV
Rasmussen Reports NR 10/1 - 10/7 49.0% 44.0% +5.0 1781 LV

Polls vs. Prediction Markets

How do traditional polls compare to what bettors think? Prediction market prices reflect real-money wagers on outcomes.

Polymarket Brazil Presidential Election
Yes 77% No 23% Yes 22% No 78%
$188.7M traded
Polymarket Next French Presidential Election
Yes 46% No 54% Yes 18% No 82%
$154.1M traded
Polymarket Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Yes 16% No 84% Yes 15% No 85%
$1295.7M traded
Polymarket Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Yes 50% No 50% Yes 28% No 72%
$49.1M traded
Polymarket Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Yes 91% No 9% Yes 4% No 96%
$2.3M traded
Polymarket Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Yes 50% No 50% Yes 44% No 56%
$3.1M traded

State Polls Map

Solid D Lean D Toss-up Lean R Solid R No Data

Polls by State

AZ Arizona 4 polls IL Illinois 14 polls KY Kentucky 4 polls MA Massachusetts 9 polls ME Maine 11 polls MI Michigan 15 polls NH New Hampshire 14 polls PA Pennsylvania 15 polls TX Texas 23 polls VA Virginia 15 polls