Business on the Edge 2024
Page 5 of 77 · WEF_Business_on_the_Edge_2024.pdf
Executive summary
Companies are grappling with the implications of the
nature and climate crisis. As tangible business risks
rise, they need to make better-informed decisions
that safeguard corporate supply chains and secure
industries and societies. The stakes are high: a
recent study suggests that emissions already in the
atmosphere today will lower global GDP per capita
by between 11% and 29% by 2050.3 But where
should business leaders and investors focus their
attention and resources today?
The urgency to decarbonize is clear. However, to
date, little work has been done to connect climate
science with even more immediate business
risks and the pressing need for resilience and
adaptation.4 This report fills that gap - offering a
tangible assessment of climate hazards (specifically
extreme heat, wildfires, drought, water stress,
tropical cyclones, coastal flooding and fluvial
flooding) and the risks they pose to companies’
fixed assets (property, plant and equipment) across
20 industries globally. Economies and societies are dependent on these assets to generate
returns and drive societal value.
The headlines are stark. Climate hazards could
drive $560-610 billion of fixed asset losses per year
across listed companies by 2035, depending on the
emissions scenario, rising as high as $1.1 trillion by
2055.5 Without evidence-based resilience strategies,
this equates to a drop of between 6.6% and 7.3%
in average company earnings every year by 2035.6
As a comparator, S&P 500 profit margins declined
by 15.3% during the depths of the Covid-19
pandemic but quickly recovered thanks to significant
government investment and policy interventions.7
By contrast, recurring annual losses on the scale
identified in this report would cause performance
shocks that would become increasingly challenging
to safeguard against through insurance and offsets.
Associated impacts could include lower company
valuations, disruption to the financial systems we
rely on for trade and investment and ultimately,
reduced global social and economic prosperity.The nature and climate crisis poses a growing
threat to business profitability, supply chains
and societal stability. This report shows how
business leaders can adapt and build resilience.
Fixed asset
losses across
listed companies
by 2035 equate
to a drop of 6.6-
7.3% in average
company earnings
every year.
Summary of estimated annual fixed asset losses TABLE 1
Total estimated annual fixed
asset losses ($ billion, all companies)Annual fixed asset losses
(% EBITA, average per company)
Emissions scenario Low High
2035
2045
2055
Sources: S&P Global Sustainable1, Accenture analysis.
The first chapter of this report explores how seven
climate hazards affect fixed assets held by listed
companies around the globe. The analysis reveals
that extreme heat accounts for 72-73% of the
potential losses accruing to these fixed assets
over the next decade. These losses are likely to
manifest in the form of business interruption, higher
repair and operating costs, and lower employee
productivity. The most exposed industries - telecommunications and utilities - face losses
equivalent to a drop in yearly earnings of more
than 20% by 2035. Moreover, given the focus on
fixed assets only, and the fact that commercial and
scientific climate risk models do not fully account for
the scale and scope of cascading threats, the total
costs facing businesses from climate hazards are
likely much higher.560 6.6
7.3
8.1
1 0.1
9.9
12.8610
680
850
830
1,070
Business on the Edge: Building Industry Resilience to Climate Hazards
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