Embracing the Quantum Economy 2024
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A.2 Use case placement assumptions
For each subsection in Chapter 3.2, the industry-
specific matrices showing business value and
technical feasibility for all use cases were created
using inputs from the community. These inputs were
organized through a detailed SWOT (strengths,
weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analysis, using
the definitions provided in Figure 17 and Table 8.The different stages of development for quantum
technologies, categorized as theoretical,
experimental, prototype and commercial, have their
respective timelines. Here’s a detailed description of
what each stage typically involves.
Each stage is crucial in the development of
quantum technologies, transitioning from pure
science to practical applications that can impact various industries and sectors. These may be
further explained for each type of technology having
its own maturity.Stages of development of quantum technologies FIGURE 17
This is the earliest stage of
any quantum technology. It
involves fundamental
research and mathematical
modelling.
The focus is on theoretical
proposals and simulations
rather than practical
implementation.
Discoveries are often
conceptual, seeking to
understand the quantum
mechanics that could
enable future technologies.
Practical applications are
generally more than a
decade away, and the
feasibility of real-world
applications may still be
uncertain.10+ years
At this stage, the theoretical
concepts begin to be tested
experimentally.
Laboratory set-ups are
constructed to validate the
principles observed in
theoretical models.
It may involve creating
early-stage devices that
demonstrate quantum
effects, though these
devices are typically not yet
capable of performing
useful tasks.
The technology is in a
proof-of-concept phase,
where experimental results
guide further refinements.6 to 10 years
This phase sees the
development of functional
prototypes that
demonstrate how the
technology could be applied
in practical applications.
Efforts are made to increase
the reliability and efficiency
of the technology to a level
suitable for commercial
development.
The technology is often still
under development in
laboratory settings, but
there is clear potential for
commercialization within a
few years.
Collaboration between
research institutions and
industry partners might
begin to scale prototypes
into viable products.3 to 5 years
The focus is on finalizing the
product for market release.
Quantum technologies at
this stage have proven
functionality and reliability
that meet commercial
standards.
The efforts are directed
towards manufacturing
processes, market analysis
and distribution logistics.
The technology is close to
being launched on the
market, with continued
improvements and
optimizations aimed at cost
reduction and enhanced
performance.1 to 2 yearsTheoretical Experimental Prototype Commercial
Source: World Economic Forum and Accenture
Embracing the Quantum Economy: A Pathway for Business Leaders
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