Financing Sustainable Aviation Fuels 2025
Page 35 of 44 · WEF_Financing_Sustainable_Aviation_Fuels_2025.pdf
Funding Source
Public funding Industry funding Institutional funding
Pathways (relevance of guideline by pathway, low = nice to have vs. high = must have)
HEFA Alcohol-to-Jet G-FT Power-to-Liquid
High High High High
Lifecycle (relevance of guideline by pathway, low = rarely applicable vs. high = very common)
Pre-feasibility Feasibility + FEED FID Construction Commissioning
Low Low High High High Structure investment through a tolling model
to attract more debtLever 9
To reach the required scale, SAF projects need
to raise significant debt. To facilitate these
investments, an emerging investment structure
is through a tolling model. Under this model, a
SAF facility would provide their refinery capacity
to customers (tollers) in turn for a fixed tolling fee.
The toller would supply the feedstocks and retain
the risks and title to the molecules through the
conversion process. The toller would be responsible
for shipping and marketing the SAF produced with
their feedstocks.
A tolling model may mitigate market risk and
provide stable, predictable cash flows as the SAF
project would receive a fixed tolling fee without
being exposed to fluctuations in feedstock costs
and SAF prices. It is important to note that no
tolling agreements have been concluded in the
SAF space at the time of writing. The claims
presented here are thus theoretical and based on
the experience of the liquified natural gas (LNG)
and electricity industries.From a lender’s perspective, this structure may be
appealing. The reduced risk exposure would allow
the SAF project to maximize debt financing and
secure it at lower interest rates, as lenders would
have more confidence in the project’s ability to
generate steady cash flows, regardless of market
conditions. This, in turn, would lower the overall cost
of capital for the SAF project, improving its financial
viability. Alternative risk-sharing pricing models could
also be introduced, should investors have a higher
appetite towards exposure to the low-carbon fuel.
The tolling model would also enable a greater role
for intermediaries in the value chain. Commodity
traders are likely to take on this role as they could
source the feedstocks, blend and sell the SAF,
depending on the infrastructure they own. They
could also leverage risk management tools to hedge
their exposure to SAF. The latter option depends on
the development of SAF into a liquid and tradable
commodity akin to crude oil or LNG, a process
which make take several years to come to fruition. A tolling model
may mitigate
market risk as the
SAF project would
receive a fixed
tolling fee without
being exposed
to fluctuations in
feedstock costs
and SAF prices.
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Financing Sustainable Aviation Fuels
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