From Minerals to Megawatts 2025
Page 33 of 39 · WEF_From_Minerals_to_Megawatts_2025.pdf
Conclusion
This white paper set out to (1) make minerals
dependencies visible across the EVs, data centres
and ET&D supply chains; (2) identify where and how
risks translate into delivery delays and cost inflation;
and (3) offer an approach for a successful collective
action agenda that downstream owners, upstream
suppliers, financiers and policy-makers can execute
together. Across analysis and consultations, five
conclusions stand out.
1. The system is interdependent by design and
exposed by concentration.
All three value chains share multi-tier structures
and overlapping materials. Mining is more
geographically dispersed, but refining and
processing are concentrated in a few hubs,
making them the dominant choke points.
Disruptions at these hubs – whether by export
controls, power shortages, extreme weather or
logistics – propagate to component factories
and downstream commissioning schedules.
2. Timing, not just tonnage, is the binding
constraint.
Meeting 2035 demand requires a step-change
in capacity, much of it still at planning or earlier
stages. Mines need decades from discovery to
first ore; processing plants take three to eight
years to build and qualify; equipment factories
ramp in one to five years. Without advanced
signals and coordinated planning, even well-
resourced programmes will deliver too late.
3. Risk is multi-dimensional and today’s pain
points are instructive.
Seven vectors recur across tiers and value
chains: geopolitics and trade, market/
finance, infrastructure, resources and energy,
sustainability and licence-to-operate, technology
and labour and skills. Their interaction explains
today’s pain points and why shocks cascade.
EV makers reacted first because of learnings
from the semiconductor shock, providing an
approach others can adapt. 4. Supply and demand have to be managed
in parallel.
Resilience improves fastest by expanding supply
and reducing demand exposure – approaches
proven during past shocks. On the supply side,
offtakes, co-financing, streamlined permitting
and secondary supply expand and de-risk
capacity. On the demand side, efficiency,
substitution, recycling and standards lower
exposure and speed up qualification.
5. Resilience is a collective endeavour.
It will rely on distributed coordination across
governments, industries and investors,
each contributing within its scope. Regional
partnerships, sectoral alliances and cross-value
chain collaboration can together strengthen
transparency, predictability and investment
confidence. Governments play a pivotal role
through predictable permitting, infrastructure
enablement and targeted co-financing where
markets alone under-deliver. To enable such
collective progress, regular dialogue platforms,
non-sensitive information-sharing tools and
harmonized standards are critical foundations
for success.
Mineral resilience is not just about raw-material
availability. It’s also about timely delivery of vehicles,
data capacity and grid connections that sustain
growth and the energy transition. Open, predictable
trade keeps materials flowing efficiently and builds
investor confidence. No region can secure this
alone. Coordinated demand, predictable permitting
and diversified supply can turn systemic fragility
into reliability. The imperative now is to organize,
sequence and execute together – using the guiding
roadmap above to align time horizons across
tiers, set and report shared resilience metrics, and
coordinate across borders.
The World Economic Forum will continue facilitating
dialogue across mining, processing, manufacturing
and policy, to raise awareness about the risks
impacting mineral-intensive value chains and
providing a space to support the incubation of
coordinated actions that strengthen their resilience.
From Minerals to Megawatts: Building Resilience for EVs, Data Centres and Power Grids
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