Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
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Aviation expansion and growth
As passenger numbers grow, some airports are
looking to expand and new airlines are launching
to capture a share of this increasing demand. The
expansion of Dubai World was announced in April
2024, with the aim to operate five runways and
become the largest hub in the world.93 Meanwhile,
Saudi Arabia announced the construction of a new
airport in Riyadh with six runways, a new $50 billion
investment in the country’s airports94 and the launch
of a new carrier, Riyadh Air.
Asia Pacific is also looking to grow. Hong Kong
International Airport (HKIA) inaugurated its third
runway in November 2024.95 With cargo movements
increasing as well as passenger numbers, DHL
Express inaugurated new facilities at HKIA in April,
with its HK$1.5 billion fully automated sorting
system.96 In North America, Toronto Pearson Airport
unveiled a renovation plan to increase capacity.97
In early 2025, the UK government announced
its backing for a major expansion at London
Heathrow,98 as well as the start of restructuring
work at London Stansted, backed by a £1.1
billion investment from the government.99 The
construction of a new terminal at Singapore Changi
Airport is also expected to start later this year,100
while Melbourne Airport announced plans for a
major expansion, as airlines launch new routes and connectivity to Australia is expected to increase in
the year ahead.101,102
On the back of positive growth forecasts and air
travel expansion announcements, 2024 also saw
greater debate on how the growth of the sector
can be compatible with its climate commitments.
This was the focus of a paper commissioned
by the European Union Joint Research Centre,
published in December 2024, which predicted
that aviation’s continuing growth has set it on
course to triple CO2 emissions by 2050. The
paper concluded that technological improvements
will need to be complemented by a place-based
approach to aviation decarbonization as well
as communication strategies to encourage less
energy-intensive travel habits.103
Some of the aviation and transport sector
stakeholders interviewed for the World Economic
Forum’s January 2025 white paper Intelligent
Transport, Greener Future: AI as a Catalyst to
Decarbonize Global Logistics, identified solutions
powered by artificial intelligence (AI) as a potential
avenue to make the transport sector both greener and
more efficient, while supporting business growth.104 As
aviation looks to expand, the applications of AI across
the sector are wide-ranging, from more seamless
management of passenger flows within the airport
to greater efficiency and potentially additional carbon
savings during operations.
As passenger traffic in aviation grows, so are airports expanding to capture this
demand. As a result, airports are increasingly using AI to improve passenger
experience and operational efficiency. At Industry.AI we connect hundreds of
cameras across the airport and use advanced deep-tech vision AI to improve
passenger flows. In addition, AI is being used to improve sustainability and
emissions by optimizing the entire power and air-conditioning plant at airports.
Tejpreet S. Chopra, President & Chief Executive Officer, Industry.AI (BLP Group)
Some of the Airports of Tomorrow executives
interviewed for this report were enthusiastic about
AI as a topic of growing interest for 2025, both
as a means to achieve decarbonization and to
improve operations and revenue. While AI may
have not yet achieved the same level of popularity
as in other sectors, many stakeholders consulted
were confident this will change throughout the
year, with increased focus at the upcoming Dubai
Airshow in November 2025.
Climate resilience
As aviation grows and airports expand, increasing
scrutiny is being focused on the environmental
footprint of materials and construction processes,
as well as on the overall compatibility of growth and
sustainability. This is happening at a time when severe
climate-driven events are increasingly impacting
aviation, highlighting the rise of climate adaptation and
resilience as a priority topic for some of the executives
interviewed, in particular for airports.
Following the heaviest rainfall on record in April 2024,
flooding in Dubai and its impact on airport operations hit the headlines,105 but there have been several
other airports and airlines impacted by climate
change, such as Porto Alegre in Brazil in August
2024.106 A study published by ACI Latin America and
Caribbean in 2024 found that over 90% of airports
interviewed had experienced higher temperatures
and rainfall, although only half of them have carried
out or expect to complete a climate change risk
assessment.107 This highlights the limited visibility
of climate resilience in airport planning, despite its
immediate consequences on operations, as well
as the need for greater guidance. In this context,
ACI Europe and EUROCONTROL published a
short briefing in November 2024 highlighting steps
aviation stakeholders can take to prepare for
climate disruptions.108
Some Airports of Tomorrow stakeholders have
started to undertake action to bolster climate
resilience. These include Ferrovial, which is raising
the floor of its new JFK Terminal 1 buildings
to mitigate flooding and Sofia Airport’s use of
heat-resistant materials for resurfacing.109 As
severe weather events intensify, airlines are also
having to adapt their operations, in particular
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
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