Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
Page 23 of 71 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2026.pdf
US SAF policy
At a federal level, the 45Z Inflation Reduction
Act (IRA) tax credits for SAF have been renewed
as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill, but only for
fuels produced from US, Mexican and Canadian
feedstocks. This is part of a wider US government
effort to scale up domestic feedstock and boost the
American farming and biofuel industry, contributing
to US energy security and “dominance”.
Across the clean fuels industry, wider proposals
from the Environmental Protection Agency to raise
its biofuels mandate to an all-time high in 2026
(65% higher than in 2025) and 2027 (75% higher
than in 2025), also contribute to this vision, with
these rules expected to be finalized in the first
quarter of 2026.67,68 Final biofuels blending quotas
are expected to remain close to the initial proposal,
with expectations among industry that penalties for
imports of renewable fuels and feedstocks may be
reduced, over fears raised by US refiners that this
could disrupt fuel markets and raise costs.69
SAF incentives extended until 2029
Meanwhile, for SAF, new proposals and guidance
released by the US Department of the Treasury
and the Internal Revenue Service in February 2026
extend the 45Z tax credits to 31 December 2029,
providing a longer window for producers to benefit
from the incentives than originally expected.70
Despite continuation of these incentives, the higher
rates of support for SAF (up to $1.75/gallon based
on the carbon intensity of the fuel) are now expected
to be phased out from this year, to level the playing
field with other biofuels for road transport. This
means the value of SAF credits will be capped
at $1/gallon, like all other fuels. The reduction in
support was expected by industry and had already
prompted a new bi-partisan bill – the Securing
America’s Fuels Act introduced in December 2025 –
to restore the initial level of credit support.71 Additionally, new guidance on how to calculate
the life-cycle carbon intensity of alternative fuels
no longer considers the impact of indirect land
use change (ILUC). Not including ILUC in life-cycle
emissions calculations will increase incentives for
US-grown feedstocks such as corn and soybeans
while the tax credit remains proportional to the
carbon intensity of the fuel, but will also reward
new feedstocks such as canola oil, which to date
has failed to qualify for incentives because of its
ILUC impact. These changes seem to favour
biofuel pathways, such as ethanol and alcohol-to-
jet production, over other waste-based and e-SAF
production pathways.
Tax credits for renewables and clean hydrogen
face phase-out
Whether power-to-liquids can remain competitive is
linked to the IRA’s 45V clean hydrogen production
tax credit, as well as to the changes in government
support for renewable electricity. Federal clean
hydrogen tax credits will only remain available
for hydrogen production facilities beginning
construction before 2028, rather than by 2032 as
originally provisioned.
Tax credits for wind and solar energy, however,
will be phased out for projects whose construction
begins after July 2026. This is likely to make it
harder for electrolytic hydrogen developers to
secure the competitive clean electricity they need to
produce green hydrogen. The renewal of the IRA’s
45Q incentives for carbon capture and storage
(up to $85 per metric tonne of CO2 captured and
stored) imply that blue hydrogen production could
remain an attractive option.
Although it’s consistent with pro-farmer support that also
incentivizes no-till practices, cover crop cultivation, and
reductions in nutrient overuse, the U.S. government’s choice to
eliminate ILUC for SAF is still controversial. From a sustainability
standpoint, the policy will create inconsistency with ICAO and
EU requirements. However, it could also encourage other regions
to incorporate regenerative agriculture practices into their
policies, along with the system to verify those actions. Ultimately,
the demand from airlines and their corporate customers will
determine if SAF producers adopt these new feedstocks.
Adam Klauber, Chief Sustainability Officer, World Energy
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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