Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
Page 8 of 71 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2026.pdf
Executive summary
In 2025, the aviation sector maintained its
commitment to net-zero carbon emissions despite
an increasingly complex operating environment.
While ambition and policy attention remained strong,
the year highlighted persistent structural challenges
related to fuel prices, policy stability, trade dynamics
and geopolitical disruption. Progress continued, but
unevenly, prompting many in the industry to explore
how aspirational targets can be translated into
more pragmatic, economically viable and resilient
decarbonization pathways.
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) remains the
cornerstone of aviation’s decarbonization strategy.
Policy momentum increased across regions in
2025, with mandates kicking off, new incentives
and strategic roadmaps aimed at accelerating
SAF deployment. Several regions are positioning
themselves as future SAF hubs, seeking to capture
industrial development and energy security benefits.
However, some stakeholders highlighted concerns
around the possibility to fulfil mandates post-2030.
This is because, while investment in SAF production
expanded, it remains constrained by uncertainty
around long-term offtake, price evolution and policy
stability. Changes or potential future adjustments
to mandates, tax credits, feedstock eligibility and
life-cycle emissions methodologies in key markets
risk complicating investment decisions. For
capital-intensive technologies with long lead times,
regulatory predictability remains critical to unlocking
private investment and enabling scale.
Biofuel supply chains also proved vulnerable to
trade policy shifts, export controls and geopolitical
tensions. Disruptions to feedstock flows, particularly
used cooking oil, illustrated how trade disputes
can rapidly affect SAF availability and pricing.
These developments reinforce the need to diversify feedstocks, production pathways and geographies
to improve resilience and reduce exposure to
external shocks, highlighting the increasingly
important links between clean fuels, energy
resilience and energy security.
Trade and industrial policy developments last
year further shaped the operating environment
for aviation. ICAO remained a focal point in
bilateral and multilateral negotiations, reflecting
the strategic importance of aviation. However,
a more complex trade landscape with countries
strengthening their domestic manufacturing
capacity (including aircraft production, fuels and
energy infrastructure) is reshaping competitive
dynamics and influencing long-term fleet and
infrastructure planning across regions.
Despite these headwinds, 2025 was characterized
by sustained industry engagement and willingness
to collaborate. Support for cleaner aviation remains
strong within industry and governments, and
few players expect the sector to retreat from its
overarching net-zero ambition at this stage. Instead,
attention is shifting towards adjusting the pathway
to reflect market realities, prioritize cost-effective
solutions and remove practical bottlenecks.
As the sector enters 2026, a more pragmatic
approach to sustainability is set to dominate
industry discussions. Key priorities include
identifying the most cost-effective decarbonization
pathways, strengthening energy and supply-chain
resilience, improving policy coordination, and
leveraging digitalization and artificial intelligence
(AI) to enhance efficiency. Converting ambition
into delivery will require greater public-private
collaboration on these topics, as well as regulatory
stability and coordinated action across regions to
accelerate progress at scale.Aviation entered 2026 with strong net-
zero ambition but growing recognition that
delivery requires pragmatic, stable policies
and resilient supply chains.
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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