Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2026
Page 54 of 64 · WEF_Global_Cybersecurity_Outlook_2026.pdf
3.7 Future threat vectors are emerging in silence
While AI continues to dominate the cybersecurity
landscape, several other technologies and
threat vectors are quietly gaining traction in
the background and are expected to affect
cybersecurity by 2030.
Drawing on a focus group session with members
of the Global Future Councils – including Artificial General Intelligence, Clean Air, Cybersecurity, Data
Frontiers, Decentralized Finance, Energy Technology
Frontiers, Generative Biology, Geopolitics, Information
Integrity, and Next-Generation Computing – it
is possible to integrate their forward-looking
perspectives with data from the Global Cybersecurity
Outlook 2026 survey to reveal the emerging risks
likely to define cybersecurity in the coming years.
Autonomous systems
and robotics
Some 26% of survey respondents indicated
that autonomous systems and robotics will
affect cybersecurity in 2026, and according
to experts in the Global Future Councils, this
proportion is expected to rise by 2030. By the
end of the decade, autonomous systems will be
a near-term factor, from AI assisting analysis to
directing physical actions in factories, logistics,
healthcare and public spaces. This evolution
could create a new cyber -physical risk profile,
where machine-executed decisions can alter
safety and service quality within seconds,
compressing detection and response windows.
Interdependencies are likely to deepen as
autonomous workflows lean on shared cloud
platforms, models and data, meaning disruptions
or errors could propagate rapidly across
operations and supply chains. Physical AI is
becoming a security concern, as intelligent
robots – such as those now used for order-
picking in warehouses or moving containers in
ports – evolve from simple machines to adaptive
systems, making their behaviour less predictable
and more vulnerable to compromised learning
processes or control software. Securing these
systems requires embedded cybersecurity by
design, strong access controls for human–robot
interaction and continuous monitoring to maintain
operational integrity.
Digital currencies
By 2030, digital currencies are expected to
play a growing role in daily economic activity,
with broader adoption across retail payments,
payroll systems and selected public and cross-
border services.51 This ubiquity makes them both foundational and fragile. Cyberattacks
targeting exchanges, wallets and smart-contract
infrastructure have already caused multibillion-
dollar losses, and by 2030 such incidents
could have systemic consequences, triggering
potential liquidity shocks or eroding confidence in
national and corporate digital assets.52 In 2025,
for instance, a major crypto-exchange breach
attributed to a state-linked threat group resulted
in losses exceeding $1.5 billion, with investigators
estimating that nearly a fifth of the stolen funds
were rapidly converted into unrecoverable assets –
a stark reminder of how quickly digital liquidity
can vanish in emerging regulatory contexts.53 As
synthetic identities and AI-driven fraud evolve,
real-time verification and resilience of settlement
networks will define trust in the financial system.
Interdependencies among decentralized finance,
central-bank digital currencies and autonomous
payment agents mean that disruption in one
layer can quickly ripple through others. In this
environment, digital currencies have become
critical infrastructure whose security underpins
economic and societal stability.
Space technologies
and undersea cables
Space and seabed infrastructure remain
comparatively overlooked in cyber risk planning,
despite enabling core functions of critical
infrastructure. In 2026, 9% of respondents
indicated that space technologies will most
significantly impact cybersecurity. Looking ahead
to 2030, satellite-based positioning, navigation
and timing will be even more essential for aviation,
maritime activities, power-grid coordination and
financial transactions. At the same time, satellite
communications and undersea cables will form
the backbone for emergency services, cloud
infrastructure and international data exchange.54 Our digital world runs through cables lying deep beneath the ocean’s surface. With
99% of international data traffic flowing through them, these undersea systems are
the unseen lifelines of our global economy – and they are also uniquely vulnerable.
A single break can disrupt essential services and daily life for billions. Building true
resilience means moving from awareness to action: faster repairs, more diverse
routes, and international cooperation that matches the critical nature of these assets.
Doreen Bogdan-Martin, Secretary-General, ITU
Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2026 54
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