Global Risks Report 2025
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–It is becoming easier for threat actors to make use of advances in biotech to modify or create new
biological agents, which if released could lead to pandemics or be used in targeted biological attacks.
–While biotech is offering groundbreaking solutions for health issues, these can come with new risks,
from possible clinical complications to unknown long-term impacts.
–Unless comprehensive global ethical boundaries are set for biotech developments, then ethical
concerns are likely to be disregarded by some, leading to new sources of division and conflict within
societies.Losing control of biotech? 2.4
Adverse outcomes of frontier technologies,
including biotech, is one of the risks with the
sharpest rise in GRPS ranking between the two-
year and 10-year time horizons, by ten positions
to #23. This divergence shows that, while global
risks stemming from the field of biotech are not top
of mind today, they will become more so within
a decade. There are three sets of risks in biotech
that need to be watched closely over the coming
years: Rising accessibility of bioweapons; negative
health impacts as the flipside of efforts to cure or
prevent health issues; and the potential for those
with access to leading-edge biotech to cross ethical
boundaries.
In each of these three areas, the first warning
signs are already emerging. Risks will grow over
time and become more complex as further rapid
technological progress is made. Advances in
biotech are being supercharged by convergent
technologies such as AI and machine learning
approaches, streamlining the ability of both
legitimate researchers and threat actors to make
sense of large datasets.
Regional and national responses in the EOS reveal
pockets of heightened concern around Adverse outcomes of frontier technologies, including
biotech. Several nations, such as Qatar, Iran, Saudi
Arabia, Switzerland and Demark, assign this risk
relatively high significance, reflecting their unique
geopolitical or economic priorities. High-income
regions exhibit moderate concern overall, whereas
emerging economies have lower short-term
rankings for this risk but may face rising exposure
as technology adoption accelerates (Figure 2.10).
These risks come alongside tremendous new
opportunities for breakthrough improvements
not only in health, but also well-being, as well
as agriculture, the development of new building
materials, mining and many other areas.44 Within
a decade, products made using synthetic biology
will permeate our societies much more than
today,45 and the tech-driven bioeconomy will play
an increasingly important role in climate-change
mitigation.46 The scope of opportunities related to
human genome editing, specifically, accelerated
following the award in 2020 of the Nobel Prize
in Chemistry to Emmanuelle Charpentier and
Jennifer Doudna for their development of Clustered
Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats -
associated protein 9 (CRISPR-Cas9), a technology
that allows for precise cuts in DNA to modify
Short- (2 years) and long-term (10 years) risk severity score:
Adverse outcomes of frontier technologiesFIGURE 2.9
Source
World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey
2024-2025.
10-year rank: 23rdIntended or unintended negative consequences of advances in frontier technologies on individuals, businesses, ecosystems and/or
economies. Includes, but is not limited to: biotechnology; geo-engineering; and quantum computing.
10-year average risk severity score: 4.5
7
High Low
6
5
4
3
2
1Severity
Proportion of respondents Note
Severity was assessed on a 1-7 Likert scale
[1 = Low severity, 7 = High severity]. The percentages in the
graphs may not add up to 100% because values have
been rounded up/down.2 years
1%
10 years3%
13% 18% 20% 20% 16% 9% 4%8% 16% 23% 32% 16%
Global Risks Report 2025
54
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