Global Risks Report 2025
Page 57 of 104 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2025.pdf
Opaque health concerns
Beyond modifying biological agents and creating
new ones for bioweaponry and terrorism, over
the coming years there will be other opportunities
to misuse – accidentally or on purpose –
technologies for editing DNA and applying that
to human cells (as well as animals, plants and
ecosystems). Part of the trouble with human
genome editing technology is that it is too new to
predict its long-term effects on both the individuals
being treated and future generations.
Problems can arise at the time an individual
is receiving gene editing therapy. These may
involve a range of clinical complications61 or
off-target effects (which are very common for
CRISPR-Cas9). In some gene editing processes,
an individual’s genome is subject to significant
rearrangements, which have the potential to
generate other health issues, such as cancer
or even new genetic diseases that are not yet
understood by scientists and doctors.
In 2018, twins with the genomes of their embryos
edited to be resistant to HIV were born in China.
The case remains unique in the world – as far as is
publicly known – and caused ethical controversy
at the time. The twins were guaranteed anonymity
by the Chinese government and so there has
not been any publicly available tracking of their
subsequent health status. The case demonstrates
the reach of the technology, and other such
surprise announcements by state or non-state
actors cannot be excluded over the next decade.
Although it may still be generally perceived to
be a low-probability risk today, there only needs
to be one instance of nefarious application of
human genome editing (possibly in an unregulated
or non-professional environment) for serious consequences to result, perhaps involving loss of
control with cascading health impacts.
Other areas of biotech present health risks that
are also still somewhat opaque. For now, the risks
associated with brain-computer interfaces appear
distant, but this could change over 10 years. One
category of risks is of a clinical nature, involving
possible damage to the brain if the medical
intervention is not carried out correctly or in case
of complications. A growing number of individual
biohackers are already implanting various small
devices in different parts of their bodies, some of
which they intend to link to the internet. These
operations are often undertaken at considerable
risk to themselves. If this trend catches on, it could
lead not only to unforeseen medical complications
for some of the individuals involved, but ultimately
also to a world in which person-to-person
connections start being replaced by permanent
person-machine connectivity, partially divorced
from physical reality. The COVID-19 pandemic
highlighted the devastating impact of lessening
face-to-face interaction; developments such as
this have the potential to magnify that.
Crossing ethical boundaries
The wide variety of applications of genome
editing, from enhancing health or performance to
editing foetuses, leads to difficult ethical questions
around where the use of these technologies
should stop. For example, would it be ethical to
apply gene editing to change a child’s eye or skin
colour, to modify height or, if that were to become
possible, to increase intelligence? What might be
unintended consequences, in current or future
generations, of editing genes and entire genomes
in these ways?
Toon Lambrechts,
Unsplash
Global Risks Report 2025
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