Global Risks Report 2025
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Looking back: 20 years of the Global Risks Report 2.6
of the Global Risks Report over the last 20 years
and the fluctuations of those rankings over that time period. The figur
e illustrates how consistently or
variably each risk has been perceived over time, as represented by the standard deviation of its ranking. The sections that follow assess further how the 10-year outlooks for key risks and risk categories have changed over the last two decades.
Key trends in risk perceptions
Environmental risks have consistently topped the 10-year ranking
When assessing the evolution of perceptions of
the four Structural forces, Climate change is the
Standard deviation of ranking (the higher the value, the more variable the rank)Average rank
302018
25151051
0 5 10 8 15 20Crime and illicit economic activityDebt
Disruptions to critical infrastructure
InflationExtreme weather events
Natural resource shortages
Non-weather related
natural disasters
Biological, chemical,
or nuclear weapons
or hazardsState-based
armed conflict
Infectious diseases
Insufficient public infrastructure
and social protectionsAsset bubble bursts
Economic
downturnBiodiversity loss and ecosystem collapseCritical change to Earth systems
PollutionInvoluntary migration or displacement
Adverse outcomes of frontier technologiesSocietal polarization
Disruptions to a systemically
important supply chainGeoeconomic confrontationLack of economic opportunity
or unemployment
Concentration of strategic resourcesCyber espionage
and warfareIntrastate
violenceInequality
Misinformation and
disinformation
Talent and/or labour shortagesAdverse outcomes of AI technologies
Censorship and
surveillance
Erosion of human rights
and/or civic freedoms
Decline in health
and well-beingHigh average rank, high fluctuation
Low average rank, high fluctuation Low average rank, low fluctuationHigh average rank, low fluctuation
Crime and illicit economic activityDebt
Disruptions to critical infrastructure
InflationExtreme weather events
Natural resource shortages
Non-weather related
natural disasters
Biological, chemical,
or nuclear weaponsor hazardsState-based
armed conflict
Infectious diseases
Insufficient public infrastructureand social protectionsAsset bubble bursts
EconomicdownturnBiodiversity loss and ecosystem collapseCritical change to Earth systems
PollutionInvoluntary migration or displacement
Adverse outcomes of frontier technologiesSocietal polarization
Disruptions to a systemically
important supply chainGeoeconomic confrontationLack of economic opportunity
or unemployment
Concentration of strategic resourcesCyber espionageand warfareIntrastateviolenceInequality
Misinformation and
disinformation
Decline in health
and well-beingTalent and/or labour shortagesAdverse outcomes of AI technologies
Censorship and
surveillance
Erosion of human rightsand/or civic freedomsThe first edition of the Globa l Risks Report was
launched in 2006 in a risks la ndscape characterized
by terrorism and concerns aro und avian influenza,
among other risks. Over the course of th e 20 editions
of the report, we have lived th rough significant events
that have reshaped our economic and societal
landscapes, from the 2007-2008 g lobal financial
crisis to the COVID-19 pande mic. We have also
witnessed the compounding eff ects of the Structural
forces of Technological acceleratio n,
Geostrategic shifts, Climate change and
Demographic bifurcation (Box 2.1) . These
Structural forces are determi ning long-term shifts
in the arrangement of, and re lation between, the
systemic elements of the globa l landscape.
Figure 2.17 shows the average 10-year risk outlook
rankings of the risks covered in the current edition
Average risk ranking and variabilit y, 2006-25 FIGURE 2.17
Source
World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2005-2006 to 2024-2025.Mean lineRisk categories
Economic
Environmental
Geopolitical
Societal
Technological
Number of years
of data
510 15 20
Note
Average risk severity and fluctuation over a 20-year period, based on the list of global risks in the Global Risks Report 2025 . The x-axis represents the standard deviation of risk severity rankings,
indicating volatility in risk perception. The y-axis denotes the average severity ranking, where higher values reflect more critical risks. Dot size corresponds to the frequency of a risk’s appearance across the last twenty editions of the Global Risks Report . Online harms was not
included in Figure 2.17 due to being a new risk introduced in the Global Risks Report in 2025.
Global Risks Report 2025
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