Global Risks Report 2026
Page 60 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
In the Global Risks Report 2024,149 we explored the
risks of AI, focusing on market concentration and
its effect on AI development, inequality between
owners of AI technologies and those who are not,
and on the use of AI in geopolitical and military
conflict. With rapid developments in AI over the
last two years, we revisit the risks generated by a world in which AI use is ubiquitous across systems
and economies. AI has shifted from a frontier
technology to a systemic force shaping economies,
societies and security. The global market size for AI
is projected to rise from an estimated $280 billion in
2024 to $3.5 trillion by 2033 (Figure 52). AI at large 2.7
–In a worst-case scenario for labour markets, increases in both productivity and unemployment could
drive permanently K-shaped economies.
–The potential for creativity, learning and leisure could give way to loss of purpose, meaning and
contribution to society, coupled with erosion of alignment around objective facts.
–The rising range of military use cases for AI will come with commensurate risks, in the worst case
leading to rapid and perhaps unintentional escalation of conflicts.
2 years
10 years5.283.50
6%
23%
28%
22%
8%
12%
2%
6%
22%
21%
15%
5%
4%
26%
Short (2 years) and long term (10 years) risk severity score distribution:
Adverse outcomes of AI technologiesFIGURE 51
Source
World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception
Survey 2025-2026Intended or unintended negative consequences of advances in AI and related technological capabilities (including generative AI) on
individuals, businesses, ecosystems and/or economies.
Note
Severity was assessed on a 1-7 Likert scale
[1 – Low severity, 7 – High severity]. The percentages in the
graphs may not add up to 100% because figures have
been rounded up/down.1
Low High
2
3
4
5
6
7Severity
Market Size (US$T)
20211.0T2.0T3.0T4.0T
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033Global AI market size FIGURE 52
Source
Grand View Research150
Global Risks Report 2026
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