Global Risks Report 2026
Page 63 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
classes – with political voice, media access, and
higher expectations of security – the political
consequences could intensify. A “white-collar rust
belt” could begin to take hold in cities that today
are hubs for knowledge and services, generating a
powerful, angry, political force.
The impacts of labour-market disruption will be
vast, affecting households, communities and
political systems, with consequences that may
prove even harder to reverse than the economic
dislocations themselves. Political gridlock could
worsen as societies become more polarized under
economic duress. Some countries could enter a
vicious cycle of economic contraction and social
discontent, as AI-driven productivity gains co-exist
with widespread disruption and profound inequality.
A generation of university graduates may need to
work gig-economy jobs as they struggle to keep
pace with relentlessly improving AI capabilities. If
highly educated young people remain unemployed
for long periods, this could become a destabilizing
force in society, with some potentially becoming
more inclined towards antisocial extremism.157
The GRPS finds Inequality to be the most
interconnected risk for the second year in a row,
reflecting its role as a transmission mechanism:
labour displacement feeds inequality, which drives
societal polarization.
Even if there are massive productivity gains from
implementing AI, as more of the middle class is
hollowed out and the pathways to social mobility
rapidly dissipate, incomes would decline and
consumer confidence would erode, depressing
spending and potentially triggering an economic
downturn. Policy-makers are likely to have fewer
options as the next decade progresses: high
public-debt servicing costs will constrain fiscal
responses, with rising middle-class unemployment
negatively affecting the tax base and housing
markets. Advanced economies may face the kind
of permanently K-shaped economies prevalent in
many highly unequal developing economies.
If AI systems continue to improve and exhibit more
forms of autonomy, reasoning, and adaptability
that extend beyond human-programmed
constraints, achieving or approaching general
intelligence, the implications for labour markets
and economies could become more profound.
Entire categories of cognitive and creative work
could face automation. At that stage, disruption
might no longer unfold linearly but exponentially,
possibly compressing adaptation timelines – for
aligning education, reskilling, and social protections
to the new technology environment – to months
rather than years.158 The gains from implementing
AI would be concentrated in the hands of capital
owners (individuals or organizations). Without new
frameworks for taxation, redistribution and rapid
reskilling, current inequalities would ossify into
structural divisions between those who control
intelligent infrastructure and those who depend on it.
Purpose in drift
In geographies and sectors where waves of
automation restructure labour markets, a new class
could emerge: workers defined not by job loss
alone but by the erosion of professional identity
and social belonging. If unaddressed, this crisis of
occupational identity could drive alienation, social
withdrawal or anti-government and anti-technology
backlashes.159
Many governments may aim to put in place
emergency measures to maintain social stability,
ranging from income safety nets to training facilities
and job centres to harnessing AI for learning and
job-matching. While universal basic income (UBI) –
or greater access to free services (universal basic
services) – generated from the windfalls of AI are
a best-case scenario for the unemployed, the
question of purpose, identity and meaning remains
an open one. A society where large segments,
especially young people, subsist on UBI could
experience a crisis of meaning. Unemployment has
been found to be associated with a heightened,
low-to-moderate risk of increased mental health
issues (compared with being employed) - including
depression, anxiety and psychological distress -
even in societies with welfare states. Conversely,
re-employment reduces the risk of these mental
health issues.160 Prolonged, mass unemployment
might result in a “lost generation” that feels it has no
role to play in contributing to society.
Jack Lucas Smith, Unsplash
Global Risks Report 2026
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