Growth in the New Economy Towards a Blueprint 2026

1. Authors calculations based on: International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). World Economic Outlook Database, October 2025. 2. World Economic Forum (2024). The Future of Growth Report 2024. https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of- growth-report/. 3. Gaspar, V. et al. (2025). Global Debt Remains Above 235% of World GDP. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Blog. https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2025/09/17/global-debt-remains-above-235-of-world-gdp. 4. International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). Fiscal Monitor October 2025. Spending Smarter: How Efficient and Well- Allocated Public Spending Can Boost Economic Growth. https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/fiscal- monitor/2025/october/english/text.pdf. 5. World Inequality Lab. (2025). World Inequality Report 2026. https://wir2026.wid.world. 6. Bonfert, A. & Wadhwa, D. (2024). Tracing Global Trends in Education: A Tale of Old and New Gender Gaps. https://genderdata.worldbank.org/en/data-stories/a-tale-of-old-and-new-gender-gaps. 7. United Nations Trade and Development (UNCTAD). (2025). A World of Debt Report 2025. https://unctad.org/publication/world-of-debt. 8. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that economic fragmentation could reduce global GDP (gross domestic product) by up to 7% over the long term. 9. The Chief Economists Outlook (September 2025) finds that weak or inflexible institutions and governance are among the top factors inhibiting growth in both advanced and developing economies: World Economic Forum. (2025). Chief Economists’ Outlook: September 2025. 10. International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). World Economic Outlook October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim. https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/10/14/world-economic-outlook-october-2025. 11. Dabla-Norris, E. et al. (2024). Global Public Debt Is Probably Worse Than it Looks. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Blog. https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2024/10/15/global-public-debt-is-probably-worse-than-it-looks. 12. 37% of executives point to rising energy and commodity costs as a barrier to remaining competitive in the green transition, a figure that rises to nearly 50% in low-income economies, according to: World Economic Forum. (2025). Making the Green Transition Work for People and the Economy. 13. World Economic Forum. (2025). Making the Green Transition Work for People and the Economy. https://www.weforum.org/publications/making-the-green-transition-work-for-people-and-the-economy/. 14. International Monetary Fund. (2023). Fiscal Monitor October 2023. Climate Crossroads: Fiscal Policies in a Warming World. https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2023/10/10/fiscal-monitor-october-2023. 15. Based on the latest available International Monetary Fund (IMF) data at the time of writing: International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). World Economic Outlook 2025 Database. 16. Countries covered in the World Economic Forum’s Executive Opinion Survey 2025 jointly represent 71.9% of cumulative GDP growth between 2025 and 2030, based on the latest IMF projections. China and Russia are not covered in the 2025 edition of the survey. 17. International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). World Economic Outlook October 2025 Database. 18. Ibid. 19. Survey respondents were asked to identify up to five industries that were likely to drive economic growth in their country in the next 5 years. The shares of responses obtained by one industry within each country were then multiplied by the share of cumulative global GDP growth represented by that country over the next 5 years, based on data from: International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2025). World Economic Outlook October 2025 Database. Data for Venezuela, Bolivia and Sri Lanka is not available. For each industry, the resulting coefficients were summed across all countries and multiplied by 100. The result is a score ranging from 0 to 100, where 100 corresponds to a theoretical scenario where global growth is fully driven by one single industry. 20. Respondents were asked to identify up to three trends that were most likely to have a positive or negative impact on economic growth in their country over the next 5 years. For each country, the net share of responses for each trend was calculated to determine a positive or negative expected impact. Instances where the delta was lower than 10 percentage points (in absolute value) were considered having a neutral impact.Endnotes Growth in the New Economy: Towards a Blueprint 25