Growth in the New Economy Towards a Blueprint 2026
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Introduction
The world is going through a set of deep geopolitical,
economic, societal and technological transformations,
creating new challenges and opportunities for
economic growth. In many advanced economies,
a growing share of citizens believe that the growth
models pursued over the past 30 years have failed
to secure them a fair share of the economic benefits
brought by technology and globalization. In emerging
markets, geoeconomic fragmentation and the
expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics
are calling into question traditional development
pathways based on low-cost labour and export-
oriented manufacturing. Meanwhile, the rise of
geostrategic competition and economic statecraft is
triggering sudden disruptions and long-term shifts
in energy systems, supply chains, techno-industrial
regimes and investment flows.
Yet, there are also new opportunities amid change.
Estimates suggest that, over the next 5 years,
global GDP (gross domestic product) will increase
by about $56 trillion in total.1 Powered by advances
in AI, quantum and other technologies, the largest
opportunities may lie in IT services, advanced
manufacturing, energy and other tech-driven
industries – and in advancing innovation and
modernization of agriculture, education, healthcare,
tourism and transport services.
What are the pathways to growth in the new
economy? What are the no-regret moves as well
as the dilemmas in this new context? This report
builds on 2 years of dialogues held as part of the
World Economic Forum’s Future of Growth Initiative.
Policy-makers, business leaders and economists
joined a series of dialogues in Davos-Klosters,
Dubai, New York, Riyadh, Tianjin and Washington
D.C. between 2024 and 2026 to identify key learnings and questions about enabling economic
growth in the coming decade. These dialogues
were complemented by a quantitative country-level
exploration of the speed and quality of growth,
documented in the Future of Growth Report 2024,2
calling for new ways of measuring what matters,
from intangible and digital assets to resilience,
inclusion and natural capital.
This report synthesizes the outcomes of the
community dialogues on pathways to growth in the
new economy as well as inputs from the Global Future
Councils on the Future of Growth and the Business
of Economic Growth. It also integrates the latest data
from the Forum’s survey of over 11,000 business
leaders around the world on their views about the
future trajectories of growth in the new economy.
The objective of this report is to take stock of
the certainties and uncertainties around enabling
growth in the new economy, and to stimulate
dialogue about what works and what does not.
It aims to support policy-makers and business
leaders in anchoring strategies around “no-regret”
moves while being clear about dilemmas and the
range of response options for them. Qualitative
foresight into industry-level dynamics, potential
sources of business growth, and the expected
impact of global trends and local barriers aims to
support and inform national public-private dialogues
and ensure they maintain a long-term perspective,
beyond immediate crisis management.
The winners in the new economy will be those who
understand competing threats and opportunities
and build new growth pathways, balancing bold
execution and reinvention with long-term thinking
and a focus on the fundamentals. Understanding key trends, “no-regret” strategies
and policy dilemmas is critical for shaping new
pathways to growth.
Growth in the New Economy: Towards a Blueprint
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