Intelligent Clinical Trials 2024
Page 8 of 20 · WEF_Intelligent_Clinical_Trials_2024.pdf
Feasibility
Medium
Impact
High
Time horizon
Medium (2–4 years)
Barriers
Fragmentation of health data and lack of
standardized data and data-sharing practices.
Regulatory requirements concerning patient
data privacy and security. Frequency of protocol
amendments caused by suboptimal protocol design.
Biggest unlock
Collaborative efforts to develop robust data
integration standards and enhanced regulatory
frameworks. Optimization of the trial design
process resulting in fewer protocol amendments.
Trial feasibility and site selection today
The growing complexity of clinical trials has made
it increasingly difficult to evaluate trial feasibility.
Slower-than-expected patient enrolment is an ever-
present challenge, typically taking 1.8 times longer
than planned,13 with enrolment shortfalls affecting
roughly 85% of clinical trials. Each day that a trial
extends beyond its patient enrolment deadline
translates to between $600,000 and $8 million14
of missed market opportunity.Today, evaluating trial feasibility and selecting
trial sites is an ad hoc process dependent on
limited data. Sites are chosen based on past
experiences with trial sites, using metrics such as
site capacity and historical enrolment rates. This
often overlooks site characteristics with a stronger
correlation to suitability, such as local patient
demographics, disease prevalence and trial-specific
site capabilities. Incomplete site profiles, data siloing
and lack of real-time access to data complicate
efforts to make data-driven selection decisions,
resulting in under-enrolment, costly delays and
unreliable feasibility decisions.
Trial feasibility and site selection
enhanced with Gen AI
Gen AI can analyse unstructured data, including
operational data from past trials alongside real-
time RWD, to feed models that predict future
outcomes and inform site selection and feasibility
planning. By pairing Gen AI with predictive AI, trial
planners will be able to accurately predict sites’
patient recruitment potential; suggest optimal
sites based on up-to-date, multidimensional data;
and anticipate recruitment challenges in advance.
Gen AI will also enable site planners to simulate
scenarios to explore various site configurations
and their expected patient recruitment and
retention outcomes. In addition, Gen AI can enable
decentralized trials, a key industry initiative to make
trials more patient-centric, by managing the logistics
of using more sites and trial investigators.Evolution, not revolution:
Trial feasibility and site selection 2
Amgen, a US-based biotech, has developed
an AI-driven tool it calls the Analytical Trial
Optimization Module (ATOMIC).15 It is designed
to enhance the efficiency of clinical trial site
selection by pairing classical and Gen AI to
analyse large structured and unstructured datasets to identify those trial sites most likely
to meet participant enrolment goals. By ranking
sites based on predicted enrolment rates and
other key factors, ATOMIC helps optimize trial
design, reduce trial duration and increase the
probability of trial success.USE CASE
Amgen For trial design, operations and site selection, there is a lot of promise … especially
where natural language data can be structured and analysed.
Andrew Giessel, Executive Director of Artificial Intelligence Engineering, Moderna
Intelligent Clinical Trials: Using Generative AI to Fast-Track Therapeutic Innovations
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