Net Zero Industry Tracker 2024 Aluminium
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2050 net-
zero scenario
0.29 tCO2e/t
of aluminium2481012tCO2e/t of aluminium6
BAU Net zero2023 20502050 BAU
scenario
8.45 tCO2e/t
of aluminium
20409.6510.04
20309.06
1.2510.04
6.8
0Readiness
Emission intensity trajectory for the aluminium sector
Decarbonization levers and top mitigation methods (NZE Scenario)FIGURE 53
FIGURE 54Source: IAI.
Overall aluminium demand is expected to grow
by 80%429 by 2050. The transport, construction,
packaging and electrical sectors will account
for most of the growth in aluminium demand.
Increasing industrialization in emerging markets
and global growth in transmission and distribution
infrastructure are expected to be the main drivers for demand growth. Most of the demand growth is
expected to be in the secondary aluminium market.
Thus, the industry needs to act fast on
decarbonization to continue reduction in emission
intensity and to offset the increase in demand.
Top three mitigation methods
2022 2030 2050
Energy efficiency
Expected to reduce emissions
by 9%
CCUS
Expected to reduce emissions
by 7%0.20.3
0.1
0Electrification
Expected to reduce emissions
by 38%
Increase in activity Avoided demand Energy efficiency Electrification
CCUS Other process shifts+12%
-27%+16%
-97%
Source: Accenture analysis based on IEA data.
Net-Zero Industry Tracker: 2024 Edition 5
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