Quantum for Energy and Utilities 2026
Page 12 of 45 · WEF_Quantum_for_Energy_and_Utilities_2026.pdf
annealing) target these NP-hard search spaces
by exploring many candidate configurations
efficiently, with the practical goal of finding better
solutions under tight time limits, not perfect
global optima. If validated, even small percentage
improvements can translate into meaningful fuel
savings and higher asset utilization at scale.
Pipeline flow optimization
Moving gas or oil through transcontinental pipelines
means continuously tuning compressor stations
and valve settings to cut fuel use while still satisfying
pressure limits and meeting contract delivery
requirements. Hybrid classical-quantum computing
solutions are expected to provide improved real-time
decision making to better optimize pipeline flow.
LNG shipping and maritime logistics
Optimizing liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker
routes is among the most computationally difficult
challenges in the industry. It requires coordinating
a global fleet while accounting for changing boil-
off rates, port and berth constraints, contract
delivery windows and opportunities to capture
value through spot-market arbitrage. In addition,
sudden geopolitical and maritime disruptions can
rapidly alter trade flows and heighten transit risk.
Even when the routing problem is simplified to just
a few dozen ships, the number of possible decisions
becomes exponentially large. That is far beyond
what anyone could search exhaustively. Because
of that, traditional heuristic methods often land on
“good enough” solutions that are not truly optimal,
which means real opportunities for efficiency gains
are still possible.
Downstream (refining and retail)
Downstream operations combine complex
chemical processing with high-volume, low-
margin retail logistics. The priority is improving process efficiency, designing and optimizing
molecules and formulations, and using customer
analytics to sharpen pricing, demand forecasting
and sales performance.
Refinery optimization (blending and scheduling)
Refineries have to coordinate crude unloading,
tank storage and blending so they can hit tight
product specs, such as octane and sulphur limits,
while protecting margins. It is essentially a resource-
constrained scheduling problem.
Retail and trading
On the retail side, the business focuses on
keeping customers from leaving and refining
trading strategies to perform well in volatile
markets. Downstream benefits most from quantum
simulation of chemistry and materials. Accurate
quantum models of catalysts, adsorption and
reaction pathways could reduce costly trial and
error in catalyst selection and process tuning, while
supporting the design of cleaner fuels and additives
that meet increasingly tight specifications. In parallel,
quantum optimization can be applied to refinery
blending and scheduling, and emerging quantum
machine-learning techniques may complement
classical models for demand forecasting and
trading analytics where uncertainty and non-linear
interactions dominate.
Community insights for quantum
solutions in fossil fuels
In fossil fuels, securing SCADA systems and
pipelines was seen as the most promising
near-term quantum application, highlighting
a strong emphasis on cyber resilience. Other
promising areas include surface mapping,
pipeline leak detection and methane monitoring,
demonstrating quantum’s potential to boost
efficiency and performance.
Top near-term quantum solutions in fossil fuels FIGURE 5
77%
73%
62%
58%
50%Quantum communication – secure SCADA
systems and pipelines from cyberattacks
Quantum sensing – subsurface
mapping for hydrocarbon reservoirs
Quantum sensing – leak detection in
pipelines and methane monitoring
Quantum computing – reservoir modelling
& seismic imaging with higher accuracy
Quantum computing – optimize refinery
processes to reduce energy intensityQuantum communication – secure SCADA
systems and pipelines from cyberattacksFossil fuels (oil, gas and coal) Even small
percentage
improvements
can translate
into meaningful
fuel savings and
higher asset
utilization at scale.
Source: Community survey, World Economic Forum’s Quantum for Energy and Utilities Working Group, February 2026.
Quantum for Energy and Utilities: Key Opportunities for Energy Transition
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