Quantum for Energy and Utilities 2026
Page 16 of 45 · WEF_Quantum_for_Energy_and_Utilities_2026.pdf
2.2 Renewable and nuclear energy
As the global energy mix shifts toward renewables,
the operational challenge moves from resource
extraction to forecasting variable generation,
integrating distributed assets and improving
material efficiency.
Solar
Solar generation is driven by advances in
photovoltaic materials, manufacturing and real-time
forecasting to manage intermittency. The highest-
impact computational bottlenecks are in materials
discovery and in modelling micro-weather dynamics
that determine near-term output.
Material discovery (perovskites and organic
photovoltaics)
The efficiency of solar PV is fundamentally
constrained by the bandgap properties of the
absorber material. Discovering new candidates,
such as perovskites, is slowed by the difficulty
of accurately simulating electronic structure and
charge-transport behaviour at scale. Quantum
simulation can accelerate this discovery cycle by
modelling exciton dynamics and charge-transfer
pathways with higher fidelity, enabling faster
screening of high-efficiency materials and reducing
years of trial-and-error synthesis.
Irradiance forecasting
Accurate short-term forecasts of solar output are
critical for grid stability, but performance is often
limited by micro-weather variability that is difficult to
capture with classical models. Quantum machine
learning approaches (for example, quantum support
vector machines and quantum neural networks)
are being evaluated to process high-dimensional
meteorological features more efficiently and improve
short-horizon predictions of cloud cover and
irradiance, supporting better reserve management
and dispatch decisions.Wind
Wind power performance depends on complex
aerodynamics at the wind-farm scale and on high-
availability operations in harsh environments. Key
challenges include wake-aware layout optimization
and condition monitoring to reduce downtime and
improve yield.
Wind farm layout optimization
Within a wind farm, turbines create wake. Optimizing
turbine placement to minimize wake losses is a
high-dimensional, non-convex optimization problem.
A near term approach is through quantum-inspired
optimization to model wake interactions as a
complex graph and search for layouts that increase
energy yield without additional hardware.
Predictive maintenance
Wind turbines generate continuous streams of
sensor data. Detecting subtle anomalies in vibration
signatures before they progress into gearbox or
blade failures is a core reliability challenge. Hybrid
quantum classical machine learning approaches are
being explored to improve early anomaly detection
in vibration data, helping operators schedule
maintenance during low-wind periods and reduce
costly unplanned downtime.
Hydro
Hydropower sits at the intersection of physics-
based constraints and market operations, requiring
coordinated scheduling across cascaded assets.
Operators must optimize water-value trade-
offs while meeting environmental flow limits and
safety requirements. In renewables,
optimization for
variable renewable
integration
emerges as the
top near-term
use case.
Quantum for Energy and Utilities: Key Opportunities for Energy Transition
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