Top 10 Emerging Technologies of 2025
Page 28 of 49 · WEF_Top_10_Emerging_Technologies_of_2025.pdf
Nitrogen fixation, a $200 billion market in the
US alone, converts atmospheric nitrogen into
ammonia at a scale of more than 150 million tonnes
per year, which is needed to produce fertilizer
supporting 50% of the world’s food production.86
Green nitrogen fixation now aims to reduce the
significant carbon footprint of conventional nitrogen
production, which currently accounts for 2% of
global energy consumption.87
In nitrogen fixation, microorganisms convert
nitrogen in the atmosphere into forms that plants
and other organisms can use for nutrients, primarily
ammonia. The key challenge in nitrogen fixation
is breaking the extremely stable triple bond that
holds together the two nitrogen atoms that make
up atmospheric nitrogen (N2). In the state-of-
the-art Haber-Bosch process, this step requires
temperatures of 400-500°C, pressures 130 to
150 times greater than that found in the Earth’s
atmosphere, and hydrogen primarily sourced from
natural gas88 in a CO2-generating reaction.
While the principle of alternative nitrogen fixation
was discovered in the 1930s, only recently has
there been considerable progress towards large-
scale commercialization. For example, bio-based
approaches use engineered bacteria and enzymes
to fix nitrogen89 and sunlight, or green electricity can
provide energy and reduction equivalents. Bio-inspired
systems also show promising results, replicating
enzyme function by inorganic polyoxometalates or
anionic metal-oxide clusters.90 Further, electrochemical
technologies relying on lithium as mediators are at
the brink of commercial application.91
Green nitrogen fixation technologies are currently
being explored by both established and start-
up companies. Australian Jupiter Ionics is
spearheading lithium-based nitrogen fixation
technology, whereas California-based Ammobia
is focusing on new, more efficient catalysts.
Such alternative technologies would also allow
decentralized production plants, enabling ammonia
to be generated using locally abundant renewable
energy, such as wind and solar. The ammonia
produced locally could then be efficiently stored
and/or processed into fertilizer on-site,92 saving
transport energy and costs.
Progress in creating localized green ammonia
production would not only reduce ammonia
production’s carbon footprint but also would reduce related CO2 sources, such as in required
transport.93 Means of transport will also benefit, as
commercial vessels are already employing ammonia
as diesel fuel and estimates project that more than
30% of global marine fuel could be carbon-free
ammonia by 2050.94
Next-gen technologies employing lithium chemistry
or biology-based approaches to nitrogen fixation are
being explored, but their commercial viability has yet
to be established.95 In contrast, ammonia production
plants using green hydrogen instead of natural gas
have proven viable and are currently being scaled
globally.96 The ammonia industry is in a transition,97
where increasing R&D efforts in green ammonia
fixation technology paired with an increasing demand
(as, for example, from the transport sector) will spark
additional innovation and investment towards net-
zero carbon ammonia production.Javier Garcia-Martinez
Professor, Director of the Molecular
Nanotechnology Lab, University of Alicante
Krishna Kumar
Chief Executive Officer, Cropin Sage Sang-Yup Lee
Senior Vice-President, Research; Distinguished
Professor, Korea Advanced Institute of Science
and Technology (KAIST)
Wilfried Weber
Scientific Director and Professor for New
Materials, Leibniz Institute for New Materials
Boxed Icons
Build industry-agriculture partnerships
– Create focused collaborations between
green nitrogen technology developers
and major agricultural stakeholders to establish
pilot programmes demonstrating cost and
environmental benefits.Ecosystem readiness map
Boxed Icons
Accelerate alternative process
technologies – Invest in targeted research
to improve lithium-mediated and biological
nitrogen fixation methods to provide viable
alternatives to traditional processes.KEY ACTIONS TO ACHIEVE SCALE
TechnologicalSocial
Economic EnvironmentalPolicy
Image:
Green nitrogen fixation
uses renewable energy
and biology to produce
ammonia sustainably,
reducing emissions and
enabling local production.
Credit: Midjourney
and Studio Miko.
Prompt (abbreviated):
“Highly detailed green bio
fibres interweaving and
connecting.”
Read more:
For more expert analysis,
visit the green nitrogen
fixation transformation map.
Authored by: Hailong Li
and Zequn Yang.
Top 10 Emerging Technologies of 2025
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