AI in Strategic Foresight 2025
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The views of experts on the more specific impacts of
AI on strategic foresight practitioners themselves and
the technology’s influence on decision-making varied
based on their prior experience with AI (see Figures
8 and 9). For example, 18% of respondents who had
experience with AI in strategic foresight predicted
that AI will significantly or somewhat reduce their role,
while 32% of the same group said AI will significantly
support or enhance their role (Figure 8).
Similarly, on the positive side, 22% of those having
experience with AI said they expected the technology
to have strongly positive impact on strategic foresight
being integrated into decision-making, compared to only 11% from the group who were not using AI
in their strategic foresight work (Figure 9). On the
whole, on both accounts, the majority across both
groups tended to evaluate the impact of AI on the
profession positively rather than negatively.
A contradictory risk that arises is: the use of AI
may make foresight more accessible to people
and therefore more widely used but, if the foresight
outputs are of poor quality due to the issues
previously identified, trust in the process may be
lost, thus undoing progress made in embedding
foresight into decision-making. AI’s level of risk to strategic foresight FIGURE 7
In the next five years, to what extent do you think AI will pose risks to the effective practice of foresight?
Very high risk
– AI will significantly
undermine effective
foresightModerate high risk
– AI will pose some
challenges to
effective foresightNo impact
– AI will not affect
the practice of
foresightDepends on context
– Risks will vary based
on how AI is designed,
governed, and appliedVery low risk
– AI will pose
minimal or no
threat to foresightNot sure0%10%20%30%40%60%70%
50%
0%6%19%65%
5% 5%
Source: OECD
AI in Strategic Foresight: Reshaping Anticipatory Governance
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