Autonomous Vehicles 2025
Page 9 of 25 · WEF_Autonomous_Vehicles_2025.pdf
What do advances in AI mean for vehicle automation? BOX 2
AI and generative AI (GenAI) are becoming integral
to vehicle automation technology. They are
transforming decision-making, model training and
human-machine collaboration, particularly across
three key areas:3
1. End-to-end (E2E) AI models are replacing
traditional rule-based systems that struggle
to handle real-world driving complexity.
By combining perception, prediction and
planning into a single neural network, E2E AI
enables faster learning and better responses
across a variety of environments. While
historically criticized for a lack of transparency,
recent innovation is making these E2E AI
models more interpretable and verifiable,
resolving safety concerns and increasing
industry adoption.
2. By creating synthetic data, GenAI plays a
key role in training autonomous systems.
Real-world data collection is costly and inexhaustive, whereas simulations using
GenAI create more diverse, scalable datasets
that can expose models to unusual driving
scenarios. This allows autonomous systems
to learn from millions of simulated miles,
improving their ability to handle edge cases,
such as sudden obstacles or extreme weather.
However, real-world validation remains
essential to ensure robustness and safety.
3. AI is strengthening human-machine
collaboration through enhanced driver
monitoring systems (DMS) and human-
machine interfaces (HMI). DMS use AI to track
driver attention, fatigue and stress, triggering
alerts or intervening to prevent accidents.
GenAI helps improve vehicle interfaces,
enabling more intuitive voice commands and
adaptive controls that minimize distractions.
Moreover, by leveraging GenAI, systems
become more capable of explaining their
decisions, improving the user’s understanding.
Regional adoption differences
As Figure 4 demonstrates, personal vehicle
automation will be adopted at different rates around
the world. The shift is expected to be led by China
followed by the United States, with Europe and
Japan likely to follow a similar yet slower trajectory
over the coming decade. In terms of L2+ adoption,
the share of new car sales in 2035 is expected
to be significantly greater in China than any other
major territory. This is caused, in part, by the
willingness of Chinese customers to embrace
automation and domestic OEMs and suppliers’
rapid advances in automation. China is also
expected to have slightly higher shares of L3 and
L4 vehicles than other geographies in 2035 – the US and Europe being the only other two markets
where these technologies will start to appear in
privately owned passenger cars by 2035.
Beyond these four key markets, the rest of
the world follows a mixed trajectory, with some
regions steadily adopting L2 and L2+ systems
while others face economic, technological and
regulatory hurdles that will slow the transition to
higher ADAS/AD levels. Figure 4 also highlights
the example of India, which follows a somewhat
different trajectory to the other highlighted markets.
In India, L0 systems are forecasted to still dominate
in 2035 due to lower purchasing power and more
complex road environments. India is also expected
to leapfrog L1 and move more directly to L2 as
this technology matures.
Autonomous driving transforms cars into living spaces. ADAS/AD systems must
be accessible across all regions and segments, enhancing safety and user-centric
in-vehicle experiences for everyone.
Gürcan Karakas, CEO, TOGG
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Autonomous Vehicles: Timeline and Roadmap Ahead
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