Beyond Tourism Coordinated Pathways to Inclusive Prosperity 2025
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Direct and induced GDP in USD generated per $1 of direct T&T GDP $3.50 $0.50Economic multiplier of the travel and tourism sector FIGURE 4
Note: The map shows the ratio of indirect and induced to direct GDP generated by T&T in USD (an average of figures from 2017, 2018 and 2019), per WTTC
definitions. Direct GDP refers to internal tourism spending and government services for visitors; indirect GDP covers supply-chain and investment effects; induced
reflects employee spending within the wider economy. Country coverage based on the Travel & Tourism Development Index 2024.
Source: World Economic Forum and World Travel and Tourism Council Local officials,
business leaders
and community
representatives
emphasized how
deeply tourism’s
impacts are felt,
even in places
without formal
tourism institutions. –Retail is another sector deeply intertwined with
tourism demand. The duty-free and travel retail
market is expanding alongside the recovery in
international travel, with independent analyses
estimating it at around $66–70 billion in 2024 and
projecting a near-doubling by the early 2030s.17
Other forecasts put the market above $110 billion
in 2024 as pent-up demand and airport expansions
lift spend.18 International visitors are pivotal for
premium retail: Chinese consumers account for
roughly one-third of global luxury purchases, and
the return of outbound Chinese travel materially
affects sales in key shopping hubs.19 The
dependence of flagship districts on tourist spend
is visible in London’s West End, where business
groups attribute hundreds of millions of pounds in
lost sales to changes in tax-free shopping rules,
even as visitor numbers recover.20
This ecosystem structure means tourism’s
performance cannot be judged solely by direct visitor
spending or hotel occupancy rates. While these have
long served as indicators of sector health, they offer
only a narrow view. They fail to capture the broader economic, social and environmental interdependencies
that define tourism’s true impact. A single decision
in one part of the system can generate ripple effects
across multiple layers. The launch of a new air
route alters the viability of regional accommodation
providers, creates demand for ground transport
services, stimulates local retail and increases tax
revenues. Conversely, disruption in one area cascades
quickly throughout the system, as power outages at
airports strand travellers, reduce hospitality demand,
disrupt retail sales and damage destination reputations.
These interconnections are not abstract. They were
reinforced repeatedly during Forum consultations
with stakeholders across destinations, industries
and communities. Local officials, business leaders
and community representatives emphasized how
deeply tourism’s impacts are felt, even in places
without formal tourism institutions. As one local
official noted, “Our town may not have a tourism
office, but we feel the impact of every tour bus.”
Such sentiments, echoed in multiple consultations,
highlight how tourism’s footprint extends far beyond
its formal boundaries.
1.2 Economic multiplication and the
positive impact of interconnection
Beyond Tourism: Coordinated Pathways to Inclusive Prosperity
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