Circular Transformation of Industries 2025
Page 24 of 32 · WEF_Circular_Transformation_of_Industries_2025.pdf
Impact
GHG emissions:
–Aluminium recycling only requires 5% of the
energy used to produce primary aluminium.
It also saves resources from the mine to the
end-product. Recycling one tonne of aluminium
saves six tonnes of bauxite and nine tonnes of
CO2 emissions.31
–By using a minimum of 75% post-consumer
scrap, Hydro delivers recycled aluminium with
an average carbon footprint of 1.9 kg CO2eq
per kg, about eight times less than the average
in primary aluminium production. Hydro’s 100%
recycled aluminium carbon footprint is less
than 0.5 kilo CO2eq, though its output is only
small-scale due to the complicated and time-
consuming production process.
Resilience:
–As Hydro tailors its recycling solutions to meet
the specific needs of OEMs, both parties enter
long-term partnerships that secure consistent
demand for recycled materials, driving financial
stability and strengthening resilience.
–Due to a shortage of aluminium scrap, coupled
with rising scrap exports to Asia, scrap prices
in Europe have been rising, negatively affecting
Hydro’s resilience. Hydro is reducing its
dependency on external scrap sources through
long-term contracts for stable scrap access and
expanding sorting capacity to process a wider
range of scrap. Revenue:
–Hydro’s recycled aluminium products command
premium prices and demand for recycled
aluminium is expected to grow at double the
rate for virgin aluminium, with annual growth
of 5.4%.
–By 2030, Hydro therefore expects to almost
double its annual post-consumer scrap usage
to 850-1,200 kt by 2030, resulting in EBITDA in
the range of approximately $470-750 million in
2030, depending on market developments and
capital availability.
Cost:
–Achieving an EBITDA of approximately $470-
750 million by 2030 requires significant
investments in recycling facilities, securing
access to scrap and developing advanced
sorting capabilities. For example, Hydro opened
a $150 million greenfield recycler in 2023
and approved an approximately $200 million
investment into another in 2024.
–Furthermore, processing circular feedstock
alters the cost structure with new cost
components such as collection, sorting and
transportation. This is partly offset by lower
energy consumption in the production process
versus primary aluminium.
Circular Transformation of Industries: Unlocking Economic Value
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