Clear Orbit Secure Future 2026
Page 16 of 34 · WEF_Clear_Orbit_Secure_Future_2026.pdf
2.3 Understanding the impact of debris
The socioeconomic risks of orbital congestion
extend beyond the direct costs quantified in this
report. Analysis from the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development4 highlights the
broader value at stake:
Value at risk: An estimated $191 billion in
global economic activity in 2024 depends
on satellite services, with the bulk of the value
concentrated in orbits in the congested
500–600 km orbital band.
Benefits at stake: Satellite-enabled services
generate major public benefits. Weather
forecasting avoids about $1.4 billion in costs
annually, while air-quality monitoring satellites
could save thousands of lives each year.
Rising collision-avoidance activity, shortened
spacecraft lifetimes and recurring service interruptions
translate these physical risks into sector-level
economic consequences: Telecommunications: Degraded signal
quality and downtime leads to corrective
mechanisms, service credits and
customer churn.
Earth observation: Data discontinuity
weakens for scientific and safety applications
and for commercial services such as
insurance, supply-chain monitoring and
carbon accounting.
The report’s data estimates suggest that service
interruptions could cost up to $26.3 billion, compared
to $15.5 billion in infrastructure damages, showing
that the primary burden lies in lost service value
rather than hardware replacement. However,
the indirect consequences – including degraded
connectivity, less accurate navigation signals and
reduced availability of Earth observation data –
could have far greater and wider-ranging economic
and societal impacts than the direct cost alone.
The report’s data
estimates suggest
that service
interruptions could
cost up to $26.3
billion, compared
to $15.5 billion
in infrastructure
damages.
Clear Orbit, Secure Future: A Call to Action on Space Debris
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