Clear Orbit Secure Future 2026
Page 19 of 34 · WEF_Clear_Orbit_Secure_Future_2026.pdf
Despite ongoing innovation, the debris-mitigation
and remediation sector remains constrained
by immature technologies, limited market
readiness and insufficient policy and procurement
frameworks. The wave of private-sector entrants
and commercialization since the 2010s, sometimes
referred to as “new space”, has yet to translate
into scalable investment or sustained demand
for debris-related capabilities, leaving public
programmes as the primary source of funding.The challenge is largely circular: without proven and
affordable technologies, customers hesitate to commit;
without anchor customers or long-term contracts,
investors remain cautious; and, without funding, costs
stay high and progress slows. A clear business case is
needed for generating returns, alongside coordinated
public procurement frameworks that can de-risk these
early deployment challenges.
3.2 Economy
As is frequently the case, a significant part of the
overall challenge is economic. For decades, it has
been the standard approach to simply leave old rocket
bodies and satellites in orbit due to the high cost of
removal and lack of clear financial incentives to deorbit
them. The most cost-efficient approach currently is to
avoid the debris that can be seen, while accepting the
damage from smaller objects that cannot. The overall
collision risk is deemed low enough by most actors to
not warrant more expensive types of intervention or
changes in regimes and behaviour. Lack of alignment
in the sector means that no single actor wants to take
first steps due to the risk of becoming uncompetitive.
The risk of collisions with and between large derelict
objects has been low enough not to warrant
investment in removing these; the cost of adjusting
one’s trajectory is relatively insignificant – $560 million
for all actors in LEO over the coming 10 years per
this report’s findings. While immediate focus on policy alignment and
data sharing may lead to the greatest gains, new
economic models are essential to fund technological
solutions and encourage sustainable activities. Some
of the most relevant approaches could include:
1 Insurance: Currently, most space insurance
covers launch and in-orbit operations, primarily
protecting the asset itself and third-party liability,
but it is increasingly under strain as a sub-
sector.9 Reimagining it in new ways to help
address orbital sustainability beyond
operations, however, could generate new
resources to deal with debris, although facing
additional practical challenges. Insurance
models typically rely on historical data to assess
risk and set premiums, which limits their ability to
predict risk of potential space debris related
losses. The sector also primarily covers launch
and initial operations, with limited coverage for A clear business
case is needed
for generating
returns, alongside
coordinated public
procurement
frameworks that
can de-risk these
early deployment
challenges.
Clear Orbit, Secure Future: A Call to Action on Space Debris
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