Defossilizing Industry Scaling-up CCU 2025
Page 15 of 43 · WEF_Defossilizing_Industry_Scaling-up_CCU_2025.pdf
However, much of this funding has since been
withdrawn.38 In 2025, the “One Big Beautiful Bill”
further amended 45Q, bringing tax credits for
utilization in line with those for sequestration: $85/
tonne CO2 from point sources and $180/tonne
from DAC. Furthermore, the 2025 changes brought
forward inflation adjustment by one year, starting
in 2027.39 The 45Q credit pays out to operators
over 12 years provided construction starts before
2033.40 While the final bill has enhanced the position
of carbon utilization under 45Q, the preceding
political and regulatory volatility has contributed
to a sense of heightened risk around US climate
subsidies among investors.
In Canada, the federal government provides a
CCUS Investment Tax Credit (ITC), introduced in
2024 via the Income Tax Act. The scheme provides
a tax credit covering between 37.5% and 60% of
eligible capital costs up to 2030, depending on
technology. From 2031 and 2040, the ITC rates will
be halved and from 2040 phased out completely.41
Canada has also implemented Clean Fuel
Regulations (CFR), under which e-fuels projects
can generate credits worth on average C$133.20/
tonne.42 On a provincial level, the Alberta Carbon
Capture Incentive Program (ACCIP) also provides
grant funding of 12% of eligible capital costs for
CCU projects which permanently sequester CO2.43 Europe
The EU regulatory environment is composed of a
range of measures which have been introduced
and revised over time. The result is a complex
system of fragmented regulation, where member
states have also implemented their own national-
level frameworks. Overall, the EU’s CCU ambition
is integrated with CCS and carbon dioxide removal
(CDR) through the Industrial Carbon Management
Strategy. The strategy outlines the EU’s intention
for CO2 to become a traded commodity within the
single market by 2040. It envisions that 280 Mtpa
CO2 will need to be captured by 2040, of which one
third (~92 Mtpa) could be utilized.44
The EU’s regulatory levers currently focus on three
delivery areas: the EU Emissions Trading System
(EU ETS), e-fuel supply mandates and innovation
support. The EU ETS currently only allows for
carbon stored permanently in products to be
counted against carbon price obligations, creating
a level of incentive for carbonated aggregates and
concrete. An upcoming EU ETS review in 2026 is
expected to consider a number of changes which
could enable CCU. This includes considering
charging at the point of emission to atmosphere
(rather than point of capture), whether to recognize
non-permanent CCU and whether to include CDR.45
The EU’s e-fuels measures focus on increasing
the cost of counterfactual fuels to drive demand
for CCU-derived alternatives. The Renewable
Energy Directive (RED III) is the principal EU
renewable fuels policy, which includes specific
mandates and rules for e-fuel use across the
bloc. At a minimum the regulation requires that
FIGURE 7 Political and
regulatory volatility
has contributed
to a sense of
heightened risk
around US climate
subsidies among
investors.
Penalty calculation under ReFuelEU Aviation regulations
$8,348$15,104
$796$7,552x2
02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,00016,000
e-SAF reference price Conventional aviation fuel priceConventional fuele-SAF
Penalty
Difference between
cost of conventional
fuel and e-SAF
Penalty$/tonne
Source: Wood Mackenzie Lens Hydrogen.
Defossilizing Industry: Considerations for Scaling-up Carbon Capture and Utilization Pathways
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