Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
Page 15 of 45 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2025.pdf
The number of scope 3 buyers stepping into
corporate offtakes is increasing, both where the
policy direction is unclear and where policy is
becoming supportive of SAF or mandates are
kicking in, even if they may not yet recognize book-
and-claim mechanisms as a way to meet targets.
Nevertheless, there is a risk in more established
markets that some buyers may drop targets or
reduce their involvement with SAF purchases in
2025, in light of the recent push-back against
climate policies and commitments seen in other sectors (e.g. exit of members from the Net-Zero
Banking Alliance). This may be counterbalanced
by the potentially positive changes to carbon
accounting guidance that many Airports
of Tomorrow stakeholders expect from the
Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Protocol’s upcoming
Land Sector and Removals Guidance in the first
quarter of 2025, although a few stakeholders
interviewed for this report expect this be
delayed.11 Uncertainty around the issue has
left many corporate players in a wait-and-see
position, holding off SAF investments.
2025 represents a convergence of technical, economic and regulatory
possibilities. SAF represents a source of competitive advantage for countries
and companies alike, with corporate travel playing a key role in helping
encourage investment. We aggregate corporate demand for SAF from
our clients and combine it with the purchasing power of airlines via Avelia
in partnership with Shell Aviation. Both corporates and airlines invest in
SAF and share the emissions reductions associated, spreading the green
premium. We invite all companies to join us and share the costs and benefits
of SAF across the travel and aviation sectors.
Paul Abbott, Chief Executive Officer, American Express Global Business Travel
Port infrastructure plays a crucial role in the aviation sector's energy
transition. It is the hub for SAF. The quality control of the blending
components, the right blending and the certification is essential. You cannot
just blend SAF anywhere – the right, dedicated infrastructure is required
and you need to be certified as a terminal operator. Vopak's global network
with 32 ISCC-certified terminals is well positioned to accelerate the energy
transition and support the aviation sector in their journey.
Dick Richelle, Chief Executive Officer, Royal VopakAsia Pacific is among the key markets where
SAF offtakes are expected to rise in 2025, with
an increasing number of Southeast Asia carriers
and corporates looking at SAF procurement, as
demonstrated by the collaboration between HSBC,
Cathay Pacific and EcoCeres launched in Hong
Kong SAR at the end of 2024.12 One market to
follow closely will be mainland China: during 2024,
local carriers began using SAF as part of a limited
government trial; this may gradually encourage more
airlines to commit to sustainable fuels in future.
As more SAF gets blended, more airports, fuel
suppliers and fuel producers are examining the
kinds of infrastructure investments they need to plan for the years ahead, as well as how to comply
with mandates when there are specific traceability
or chain of custody requirements. In Europe,
the RefuelEU initiative sets minimum blending
requirements, such as for airports handling at least
800,000 passengers annually or over 100,000
tonnes of freight. There are additional sub-targets
specifically aimed at increasing the use of power-
to-liquid (PtL) fuels. European fuel suppliers and
airports, where fuel is managed directly rather
than via consortia, are expected to be increasingly
grappling with logistics assessments to understand
the most efficient ways of delivering, storing and
supplying fuels at the airport and to the wing.
Availability and cost of clean
hydrogen and electricity
Clean hydrogen
Clean hydrogen is an important enabler of aviation
decarbonization, given its use as a process input
or feedstock during SAF production, as well as its
potential to power hydrogen-based aircraft and
airport infrastructure.Last year saw notable clean hydrogen developments,
although the extent to which these advances may be
leveraged by the aviation sector remains unclear. The
availability of clean hydrogen is increasing globally,
with over 1,500 large-scale projects announced and
significant investments being made, particularly in
Europe, North America and China.13 During the first
half of 2024, the pipeline had a net growth of 154
projects across different regions, with North America
leading clean hydrogen capacity expansion, while
Europe and Latin America focused specifically on
renewable hydrogen. The United Kingdom, Germany
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
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