Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
Page 3 of 45 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2025.pdf
This year marks an important moment for the
aviation sector’s journey to net zero. Updated
national action plans on how countries intend to
decarbonize aviation need to be submitted to the
International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) by
the next general assembly in September.
As part of those decarbonization plans, the first
few sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandates
in Europe came into force in January – with
increasingly tough targets up to 2030. Over the
coming months, more SAF plants will look to
make their final investment decision and potentially
progress to construction. Expectations for
economy-wide decisions at COP30 in October
are also high, with the aviation and clean fuels
agenda playing an increasingly prominent role in
multilateral events, including the G7 and G20.
The actions that industry and governments
across the world take this year will be vital to
ensure the aviation sector remains on the right
flight path to meet internationally agreed targets,
with no countries or regions left behind in the
quest for sustainability. The global vision agreed
through ICAO means that, within five years, the
carbon intensity of jet fuel will have to reduce
by 5%. Looking ahead 25 years, ICAO’s long-
term “aspirational goal” is net-zero international
aviation by 2050.
However, the sector is also poised to grow
significantly by that date. Aviation executives are
increasingly facing trade-offs between sustainability
and growth, and both these are affected by the
constantly evolving geopolitical context, with
increased conflicts, looming trade barriers and
recent elections across the globe affecting air traffic, policy, investment and feedstock flows.
These events are impacting the dynamics between
countries and the opportunities for collaboration
at a time when such cooperation is critical for
the low-carbon transition. In this important year
for aviation sustainability, the World Economic
Forum aims to foster the international action and
collaboration needed between governments,
aviation stakeholders and the wider value chain to
accelerate industry’s transition to net-zero aviation
and ensure sustainability remains paramount in the
sector’s quest for growth.
The aviation industry has demonstrated its ability
to transform and adapt, by overcoming some of
the challenges that have affected the sector in
recent years, from safety issues to supply chain
constraints and long-COVID impacts. How can
this spirit of resilience be funnelled towards fuelling
greater sustainability and how can momentum for
sustainable aviation be maintained as the sector
expands? Which priorities and actions can be
taken forward? Which risks should public-private
collaboration focus on this year to accelerate
progress towards decarbonization?
These are some of the questions we posed to
Chief Executive Officers from the World Economic
Forum’s aviation community in late 2024 and early
2025. Their views have informed this new flagship
report that aims to set the scene for discussions
over the year ahead. Our assessment, which we
plan to publish regularly in this format, reviews key
market developments and complements them with
stakeholders’ perspectives and priorities. Our aim
is to capture the evolution of aviation executives’
views over time and to inform ongoing opportunities
for public-private collaboration.
ForewordGlobal Aviation Sustainability
Outlook 2025March 2025
Gim Huay Neo
Managing Director
and Head, Centre for
Nature and Climate,
World Economic Forum
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
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