Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
Page 34 of 45 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2025.pdf
The IMF has
proposed the
idea of pricing
the emissions
of international
aviation and
shipping, an
approach they said
could raise up to
$200 billion a year
in revenues by
2035, which could
be allocated to
climate finance.Workforce shortages can pose a threat to
operational readiness and safety, as the recruitment
of new maintainers may not keep pace with the
needs of the industry.120 In its Next generation of
aviation professionals (NGAP) strategy released in
2024, ICAO identified the lack of qualified personnel
as one of the key causes of low compliance with
aviation safety requirements.121
There are also important implications on
sustainability, as the turnover and number of
vacancies has an impact on the retention of talent
and skills at a time when new technology and
sustainability practices are being embedded into
airport and airline operations. The integration of AI,
robotics and automation in aviation operations is
creating demand for new skills,122 alongside changes
in refuelling and safety practices as multi-fuel
technology is brought into the airport environment.
Looking ahead to 2025, stakeholders interviewed
for this report highlighted how the aviation industry
must take decisive action to address the labour
shortage and skills gap to ensure future operational
readiness and safety, through recruitment
campaigns, streamlined certification and enhanced
retention strategies, as well as through reskilling
activities to ensure that future sustainability
requirements can be met and opportunities
leveraged by the existing workforce. As part of this,
AI and automation are expected to play a key role,
creating significant demand for technology-related
skills, as well as uniquely human abilities such as
creativity, critical thinking and adaptability.123
Beyond airlines and airports, stakeholders also
highlighted labour shortages across other parts of the
aviation and fuel value chains that can have an impact
on the sector’s ability to meet its internationally agreed
targets. Among the concerns flagged were shortages
of engineering, procurement and construction (EPC)
contractors for SAF plants – a common trend affecting
many other sectors, including wind energy.124
Just transition, involvement of
the Global South and inequality
As part of the increasing need to channel
more capital towards developing countries for decarbonization, support for a just transition
in aviation has become a recurrent theme for
governments and international organizations,
including for some Airports of Tomorrow
stakeholders. The just transition has been a key
area of debate during international negotiations
and discussions in 2024, both within ICAO and at
COP29, which focused on raising climate finance
for this topic.
The just transition across the economy is expected
to remain a key priority for the sector in 2025, in
particular during the ICAO General Assembly. A
key priority of the Finvest Hub proposition unveiled
by ICAO in February 2025 is the prioritization of
financial support to scale-up alternative fuels in
developing countries.125
A number of recent proposals to advance the just
transition across the economy will have an impact
on aviation. In October 2024, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) proposed the idea of pricing
the emissions of international aviation and shipping,
an approach they said could raise up to $200
billion a year in revenues by 2035, which could be
allocated to climate finance.126 Meanwhile, the Global
Solidarity Levies Task Force – launched at COP28
and co-chaired by Barbados, France and Kenya – is
planning to publish climate-related levy proposals
across several sectors by April 2025. For aviation,
the task force proposes a levy of €0.33 per litre of jet
fuel for international flights, as well as a frequent flyer
levy of $9 for a person’s second flight, rising to $177
for their 20th flight within the same year. These two
measures would generate an estimated $140 billion
per year of funding, according to the task force.127
Airlines expressed their reservations with these
proposals during COP29;128 similarly, some of
the executives interviewed for this report were
not supportive of the measures, but expected
this topic would continue to feature heavily in
upcoming international discussions.
Meanwhile, programmes of foreign aid to support
the decarbonization of the aviation sector
continued, with over 20 feasibility studies in
emerging countries being taken forward by the
ICAO ACT-SAF programme in 2024, with support
from the United Kingdom,129 the Netherlands,130
France, the European Union and Airbus.131
Conventional aircraft
manufacturing and
production slowdown
Delivery delays and other supply chain issues
in 2024 have led airlines to keep flying older
airplane models, negatively affecting fuel efficiency and increasing maintenance costs. With
greater fuel efficiency being a key pillar of most,
if not all, airlines’ plans for net zero, this has
impacted progress on decarbonization and even
affected strategic goals around sustainability,
as exemplified by Air New Zealand’s decision
to backtrack on its 2030 carbon emissions
reduction commitment.132 3.4 Technology risks
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2025
34
Ask AI what this page says about a topic: