Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
Page 11 of 71 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2026.pdf
The Forum’s survey results have highlighted several
headwinds buffeting aviation’s decarbonization
journey, in large part stemming from wider non-
aviation-specific trends.
Consistency of policy support
Executives consulted for the survey voiced
concerns around the consistency of political and
government support for the sustainability agenda
globally. This factor is not aviation-specific, but
rather a broader reckoning that other political
priorities, namely defence spending and energy
affordability, might pose a challenge to the aviation
sector’s ability to rely on predictable policy support
within and across several jurisdictions.
Growing global economic uncertainty
Related to the prevailing state of geopolitical
turbulence is the challenge of competing business
priorities amid growing economic uncertainty. In
January 2026, the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) projected global growth of 3.3% for 2026, with
global inflation expected to fall below 4%.4
However, despite this relatively positive economic
outlook, intractable conflicts and escalating levels of debt require governments to build in fiscal buffers
and the private sector to adopt more caution in its
investment decisions. This slows the flow of goods,
including fuels and feedstocks across markets, and
dulls the appetite for the long-term financial and
sustainability commitments needed to scale up SAF
and other decarbonization technologies.
Choice of technology pathways
for aviation decarbonization
Several respondents expressed concern about the
pace at which Europe is deploying e-fuels, despite
positive policy developments, a number of projects
breaking ground and new investment. To maintain
progress and avoid delays in reaching interim
milestones, executives called on governments
and the private sector to cooperate more closely
on finding pragmatic solutions and incentives to
reduce – as well as share – the risks of developing
SAF plants, especially those using more novel
technologies.
Achieving sound economics will be key to drive
investment in decarbonization projects forward,
both for flight and airport operations, particularly
amid an uncertain geopolitical environment.1.4 Challenges ahead
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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