Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
Page 12 of 71 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2026.pdf
While the aviation sector continues to maintain
a positive outlook and high climate ambition,
real-world challenges around technology and
economics have become more pressing: how can
these sometimes opposing forces be reconciled?
As industry executives and policy-makers consider
their next steps towards more sustainable aviation
in 2026, they will face some pragmatic trade-offs.
Focus on developing e-SAF or other pathways?
Based on feedback from the executives consulted
for this report, one such decision will be around
the prioritization of e-fuels – a technology with
considerable long-term potential, but currently
more costly and less ready to scale up than the
alternatives. While some respondents stressed the
need for continued investment in e-SAF related
technologies, others suggested prioritizing already
available HEFA or crop-based solutions.
SAF mandates show promise, but need to align
around common standards
Executives were positive on policy developments
across the globe in 2025, including in the US; but
the divergent approach introduced by multiple
SAF mandates and levies with different targets,
timelines, monitoring systems and sustainability
standards would benefit from greater alignment
across regions. This could be achieved gradually
with the introduction of common sustainability
standards and labels, the alignment of mandates
in selected regions, and greater integration of
mandates into the framework of ICAO’s Carbon
Offsetting Reduction Scheme for International
Aviation (CORSIA).
Trading SAF globally could boost affordability,
but local production enhances security
As growing numbers of actors are exploring SAF
book-and-claim mechanisms and advocating for
interoperability and coordination across platforms,
it may prove cheaper to produce SAF where
resources are available and costs are lower, then
export it across regions via a global system. Some
governments have started exploring this option.
However, given countries’ renewed focus on
energy security and dominance, there will also
be a trade-off to negotiate between sourcing the
most affordable SAF and boosting local production
capacity, which can unlock economic opportunities.Hybrid powertrains gain ground over hydrogen
With regard to the use of hydrogen in aviation,
executives have been exploring in more detail
which on-the-ground airport applications, if any,
could benefit from hydrogen and under which
circumstances. The practical challenge is to work
out where technology or cost present advantages
over other powertrains. In the air, a pragmatic
recalibration of hydrogen-powered aircraft is already
taking place, with the emergence of more cost-
competitive, hybrid powertrains that could see
greater investment and easier deployment.
Factors determining how optimism can
translate into action
Several key factors will determine the industry’s
choices and direction of travel in the year ahead:
the pace of technology and policy development, the
intersection of SAF demand and supply, the growth
in air travel and cargo both regionally and globally –
and the impact of all of this on air fares. Geopolitics
and wider market developments beyond aviation
will also affect these trends and determine how the
optimism with which the sector is entering 2026
can translate to action.
Taking into consideration progress in 2025 and
key challenges highlighted by industry, Figure 2
summarizes key priorities and major factors
impacting sustainable aviation decisions during
2026. The figure also captures executives’ views on
whether these areas of focus made positive, stable
or negative progress in 2025.
The following chapters examine each of these
technology, policy/geopolitical, economic and wider
industry trends in greater detail, drawing on survey
findings, executive interviews and recent policy
and market developments. Together, they highlight
how decarbonization progress remains tightly
interconnected and impacted by multiple factors,
requiring coordinated action across technology,
policy and finance to sustain momentum towards
aviation’s net-zero goals.1.5 Industry priorities and trends for 2026
Multiple SAF
mandates and
levies with different
targets, timelines,
monitoring systems
and sustainability
standards would
benefit from
greater alignment
across regions.
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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