Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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Middle East and Africa
The Middle East offers promising potential for clean
fuels to be unlocked by policy measures, while
efforts to scale up the development and certification
of low-carbon aviation fuels (LCAF) continue. UAE’s
government has publicly discussed its ongoing
work to introduce a SAF mandate,81 while the Gulf
Cooperation Council recently launched a unified
Civil Aviation Authority to promote harmonized
aviation regulations across states, which could
pave the way to better policy integration across the
region. Saudi Arabia and Oman are exploring SAF
policies, but no final announcements have been
made as of February 2026. No substantial SAF policy developments were
seen in Africa in 2025, although momentum
kept building. Several governments, including
Senegal, continued to explore SAF opportunities
as part of ICAO’s Assistance, Capacity-building
and Training programme (ACT-SAF), which aims
to build capabilities in emerging markets. As
part of the programme, Côte d’Ivoire completed
multiple feasibility studies to explore local SAF
production.81 The private sector is also coming
together to advocate for the development of new
SAF legislation, as signalled by a policy consensus
document signed by several aviation players in
Africa in late 2025.83
Central and South America
In South America, after signing SAF policy into law
in 2024, the Brazil Government, along with other
committed countries, launched the “Belém 4x
Pledge” at COP30 to scale up low-carbon fuels four
times by 2035, compared to 2024 volumes.84 This
collaboration highlights Brazil’s increasing efforts
to raise awareness of the low-carbon fuels agenda
internationally, after gaining prominence at the G20
in 2024. Brazil is aiming to maintain collaboration
on sustainable aviation and strengthen market
opportunities for its domestic biofuels industry at a
time of market and feedstock disruptions. Underpinned by analysis from the International
Energy Agency (IEA), a total of 23 countries signed
the Belém pledge, including Chile and Guatemala,
as well as Armenia, Canada, India, Italy, Japan and
Mozambique. In 2025, Chile continued to refine the
regulatory and technical details of its SAF roadmap,
introduced in 2024, ahead of the implementation of
pilot plants in the country.85
ICAO’s ACT-SAF programme continues to assist
countries in developing their SAF roadmaps and
exploring the feasibility of production facilities,
including in Argentina, Mexico, Panama and Peru.86 Brazil, along with
23 other countries,
launched the
“Belém 4x Pledge”
at COP30 to scale
up low-carbon
fuels four times by
2035, compared to
2024 volumes.
Policy alignment and pragmatic support
While SAF policy momentum is building globally,
approaches remain fragmented. Europe has
reaffirmed its ReFuelEU targets, including the 6% SAF
by 2030 mandate, while the US, Asia-Pacific and
other regions are pursuing distinct incentive structures,
mandates and fuel eligibility and sustainability criteria.
This divergence creates complexity for investors, fuel
producers and air operators, complicating cross-
border fuel supply, compliance planning and long-
term investment decisions.
As a result, stakeholders interviewed for this report
have highlighted the need for more consistent and
aligned international policy. A global SAF mandate
has been seen by many as a promising avenue
to create a level playing field across regions.
Nevertheless, several stakeholders questioned the
feasibility of such a mechanism and the timeline for
creation and implementation. In the light of these challenges and to maintain
momentum, executives engaged in the Forum’s
aviation decarbonization discussions have
highlighted various complementary, pragmatic
actions that industry and governments should be
jointly aiming to advance in 2026 (see Box 1).
On top of fostering global synergy among countries
in which policy already exists, executives highlighted
how international efforts should continue to support
policy development across all regions, especially
those with great feedstock potential. This could
take the form of project implementation assistance
and global cooperation projects, and would ensure
that the economic and social opportunities the
SAF market brings do not remain concentrated in
selected markets.
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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