Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
Page 27 of 71 · WEF_Global_Aviation_Sustainability_Outlook_2026.pdf
Pragmatic actions for the aviation industry and governments to advance in 2026 BOX 1
–Identify and align regional policy clusters:
for example EU-UK, or Middle East and Asia-
Pacific including China – driven by ambitious
countries willing to spearhead regional
alliances and collaboration.
–Harmonize fuel sustainability credentials
across geographies: first, create a single,
clear definition of SAF; then introduce
sustainability ratings and labels, taking
inspiration from other sectors, such as housing
and consumer goods/appliances.
–Integrate national policies and SAF
mandates within ICAO’s CORSIA, to
leverage and strengthen existing international
collaboration, while driving towards a single framework for aviation decarbonization across
regions and technologies.
–Plan long-term policy synergy and certainty
post-2035, to reflect the complexity of
moving away from established approaches
and the need to maintain stable policy in the
short term – this could mean future-proofing
existing policy with SAF plants that achieve
final investment decision against changes over
the lifespan of the investment, and introducing
over time more consistent and uniform
regulation across regions, to give industry time
to adapt and prepare.
Source: Executives engaged in the World Economic
Forum’s aviation decarbonization initiatives.
As SAF mandates and emissions trading schemes
continue to be rolled out, their geographic coverage
is, in some cases, limited to flights operating within
the boundaries of the country or region introducing
such regulation.87 As a result, 2025 saw increasing
focus on the contribution of long-haul international
flights to climate change (currently not subject to
the EU Emissions Trading System, for instance)
and on the options available to address global
carbon emissions as well as the potential economic
impacts of carbon leakage.88 Türkiye’s introduction
of a SAF mandate, complementing EU efforts, has
been received positively by European carriers that
were concerned about the potential risk of carbon
leakage in regions close to the bloc.
Nevertheless, to spread the impact of regulation
more evenly across carriers, including those
operating from further afield, European aviation
industry players have suggested introducing
additional measures to preserve a level playing field
with non-EU airlines and avoid the risk passengers
may fly through hubs or to destination where air tickets are cheaper because SAF is not used. The
industry is calling for the introduction of a SAF
Border Adjustment Mechanism (SAF-BAM) which
would charge international flights departing from the
EU but connecting via a non-EU hub, that are not
subject to SAF requirements, the same SAF-related
costs faced by EU airlines on their entire journey.89
Alongside these discussions, in 2026, the EU
is expected to undertake a review of its ETS for
aviation, with potential plans to expand its scope
of application. Currently, the ETS only applies to
internal EU flights. Discussions on the inclusion of
non-EU flights have been postponed until the end
of 2026, through the “stop-the-clock” provision.
Given the ETS Directive is up for review by July
2026, the EU is expected to re-assess the feasibility
of broadening the ETS to include international EU-
departing flights into the carbon pricing system.
In addition, EU legislators will assess the potential
inclusion of other non-CO2 greenhouse gas
emission sources into the ETS’s pricing mechanism.3.3 Carbon pricing
Global Aviation Sustainability Outlook 2026
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