Proactive risk management with advanced scenario planning With volatility now the norm, traditional forecasting models are losing their predictive power. To stay ahead, Lighthouses are embedding dynamic risk modelling, what-if simulations and intelligent alerts and escalations into daily operations. Building a longer predictability horizon is no simple task. It requires a structured, forward-looking approach to risk management – one grounded in data-driven fundamentals.17 Tüpraş in İzmit, Türkiye offers a compelling example. Following the commissioning of an upgraded plant, the company faced growing operational complexity, siloed planning and losses due to manual forecasting that hindered market responsiveness. Tüpraş deployed a suite of risk management solutions, including digital twins, AI-powered demand forecasting and advanced analytics to optimize crude selection, scheduling and logistics, which collectively unlocked working capital and predictive, scenario-based decision-making across the crude-to-product value chain (Figure 8).18 Qatar Shell’s gas-to-liquids facility in Ras Laffan, Qatar faced early challenges with siloed systems, fragmented data and scarce local capabilities in a highly technical industry. Recognizing the criticality of its assets, the site invested in solutions such as real-time, physics-based structural health monitoring and AI-enhanced corrosion prediction to improve asset reliability. Real-time integrity insights are used to prioritize repairs and schedule maintenance during planned downtimes, supporting operational continuity at reduced cost (Figure 8).19 By integrating financial, demand and supply risk factors into a unified supply chain “control tower”, Lighthouses anticipate vulnerabilities before they materialize and calibrate interventions based on live operational data, bridging planning and execution into a single decision loop. Achieving this level of responsiveness requires rethinking legacy systems and processes for continuous, data-driven adaptation. Network modernization: reimagining legacy systems, processes and mindsets For established organizations, scaling-up transformation across brownfield sites – typically ageing facilities with entrenched systems and processes – presents obstacles. Legacy systems, often optimized for sustaining current operations, can stifle innovation and stall digital efforts. Lighthouses align systems, processes and – critically – mindsets around the mission and vision, building a transformation engine capable of persisting under ceaseless change. Systems integration and IT/OT optimization Integrating information technology (IT) and operational technology (OT) is now foundational to modernizing sites, where legacy systems often block data flow and hinder transformation. Lighthouses bridge these gaps by building unified IT/OT architectures that connect, on average, 85% of production and logistics endpoints, unlocking end-to-end visibility, early risk detection and rapid response (Figure 9). An integrated backbone supports predictive maintenance, automated recovery and cybersecurity for operational continuity. Through cloud-hybrid deployments and close collaboration with ecosystem partners, Lighthouses localize development to accelerate solution rollout and sustain impact. 86% of business leaders are investing in supply chain transformation, but only about a quarter believe their companies have completed it. Global Lighthouse Network: Rewiring Operations for Resilience and Impact at Scale 15

Global Lighthouse Network 2026