Global Risks Report 2026
Page 53 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
Progress in quantum technologies is likely
to accelerate over the next decade as large
companies and governments spend more heavily
on seeking quantum leadership. Technology
convergence between AI/machine learning (ML)
and quantum computing is accelerating the
development of both fields. And a whole new field
of quantum ML is emerging. Both the quantum and
AI risk landscapes will become supercharged over
the next decade, and this may lead to situations in
which humans lose control.111
The Global Risks Perception Survey 2025-2026
(GRPS) findings suggest that respondents are
sanguine for now: Adverse outcomes of frontier
technologies (including quantum) ranks low at
#33 and #25 over the next two years and 10 years,
respectively (Figure 10). Nonetheless, this risk has
the fourth-largest increase, among all 33 risks, in
severity score between these two time horizons,
clearly indicating that respondents’ concerns are
rising over time.
All three key areas of quantum technology –
computing, communications and security, and
sensing – could see rapid change. Quantum
computing in particular has the potential to
contribute to breakthroughs in many fields.112 It is applicable notably to problems exhibiting
combinatorial complexity (exponential growth in
the number of possible solutions for a problem as
the number of variables increases), with speedups
expected where quantum algorithms offer an
advantage. Promising areas include optimization
(e.g. for financial portfolios, supply chains and
energy grids); cryptography and number theory;
simulation (e.g. in chemistry and materials
science113); and for improving AI/ML, subject to
future hardware capabilities. While several quantum
computing systems exist today, they still require
further refinement, increased noise management
and scaling before major opportunities – and risks
– materialize.
Quantum communications and security involve
building communications networks that, by their
very nature, unlock new security paradigms. China
has invested heavily in this field,114 with the United
States, Germany and Switzerland115 also early
movers.
Quantum sensing involves improving the sensitivity
and precision of sensors. It is starting to lead to
important enhancements in military and industrial
applications. The United States and China are,
again, the leading players, as well as Germany.116Quantum leaps 2.6
2 years
10 years4.30
4%
13%
20%
15%
12%
18%
17%
19%
33%
7%
3%1%
16%
21%
Short-term (2 years) and long-term (10 years) risk severity score distribution:
Adverse outcomes of frontier technologiesFIGURE 47
Source
World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception
Survey 2025-2026Intended or unintended negative consequences of advances in frontier technologies on individuals, businesses, ecosystems and/or
economies. Includes, but is not limited to: brain-computer interfaces; biotechnology; geo-engineering; and quantum computing.
Note
Severity was assessed on a 1-7 Likert scale
[1 – Low severity, 7 – High severity]. The percentages in the
graphs may not add up to 100% because figures have
been rounded up/down.1
Low High
2
3
4
5
6
7Severity
–Future quantum computing attacks on classical mathematics-based cryptography could undermine all
digital trust infrastructures and lead to mass decryption.
–New extremes in concentration of business and economic power could exacerbate digital divides within
societies and between countries.
–Geopolitics could move closer to winner-take-all scenarios, with supremacy in areas of quantum
providing huge strategic and tactical advantages in conflicts.
Global Risks Report 2026
53
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