Global Risks Report 2026
Page 58 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
start to align with either ecosystem, switching
or aiming to align with both would become very
difficult. Countries that are allies of one of the two
“quantum superpowers” might be granted access
to some quantum capabilities, but at the cost of a
substantial loss of technological sovereignty. They
would have to give up some degree of strategic
independence, ceding room to manoeuvre in a
complex and changing geopolitical environment.
Moreover, should their alliance with the quantum
superpower falter, they could risk losing access
to quantum altogether, generating financial or
economic shockwaves.
This quantum arms race could mirror the race to
build nuclear weapons, followed by the subsequent
efforts by nuclear powers to prevent other countries
from obtaining such weapons. The potential
geopolitical benefits to quantum leadership are
large. Yet, in the absence of global agreements
related to building and using quantum technologies,
it is conceivable that countries seeking that
leadership would take overt or covert military action
over the next decade to derail and delay their
adversaries’ efforts to build quantum computing
systems.
Even in the absence of such a worst-case
scenario, the world’s leading militaries are
prioritizing quantum as a risk.139 Concerns begin
with cryptography: sensitive diplomatic exchanges
or classified intelligence reports that are likely to
have been harvested, potentially over many years,
could suddenly be hacked at a large scale by
a government or company gaining access to a
cryptographically relevant quantum computer.
Data breaches could provide significant leverage
to the government that has the quantum
advantage, generating insights into other countries’
geopolitical strategies, military and intelligence
operations; business plans and intellectual
property of companies in strategic sectors; or PII
of entire populations. In a world that is turning away from multilateralism and in which power
politics is becoming more prevalent, it is likely
that governments will press home this information
advantage. This would further polarize geopolitics
into stronger nations (those that have access to
quantum technologies) on one hand and all those
that do not on the other.
Quantum simulations involving the modelling
of complex systems are likely to accelerate
breakthroughs in sensitive fields such as
autonomous weapons or engineered pathogens.140
There are also several emerging practical
applications of quantum sensing for military use.141
For example, quantum sensing has the potential to
be able to identify submarines or stealth aircraft via
gravitational or magnetic anomalies,142 putting at
risk key military assets.
Actions for today
For a wide variety of organizations, the costs of
delayed preparation are likely to exceed those
of adopting quantum-safe cryptography early.
Recent calls to action have been issued by, among
others, the G7 Cyber Expert Group143 and Europol’s
Quantum Safe Financial Forum.144 Organizations
adopting quantum-resistant security may leverage
hybrid solutions that integrate both classical
and quantum-ready approaches. They will need
to enhance their crypto agility to build ongoing
capabilities in response to evolving cryptographic
standards and solutions. Organizations need
to begin their quantum cyber readiness journey
by building out a strategy and roadmap today.
The following five guiding principles aim to help
organizations understand where they are, identify
gaps in their preparations to become quantum
secure, and improve their initial steps towards
quantum security: 1) ensure the organizational
governance structure institutionalizes quantum risk,
2) raise quantum risk awareness throughout the
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Global Risks Report 2026
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