Global Risks Report 2026
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Appendix A
Definitions and Global Risks List
Definitions
For the purposes of this report, “global risk” is
the possibility of the occurrence of an event or
condition that, if it occurs, would negatively impact
a significant proportion of global GDP , population or
natural resources.
“Structural force” is the long-term shift in the
arrangement of and relation between the systemic
elements of the global landscape. These shifts
are not risks in and of themselves, but have the
potential to materially influence the speed, spread
and scope of global risks. These include but are
not limited to geostrategic shifts, technological
acceleration, climate change and demographic
bifurcation.
“Climate change” is a structural force that
encompasses the trajectories of global warming
and possible consequences to Earth systems,
reflecting anthropogenic actions and environmental
changes.
“Demographic bifurcation” is a structural force
that refers to changes to the size, growth and
structure of national, regional or global populations,
and the resulting impact on socioeconomic and
political structures. It includes, but is not limited to,
migration, fertility and ageing rates.“Geostrategic shifts” is a structural force that
refers to changing geopolitical power dynamics.
It encompasses global and regional alliances and
relations, the offensive and defensive projection of
different sources of power (including economic),
and national attitudes relating to key actors,
governance mechanisms and strategic goals.
“Technological acceleration” is a structural force
that refers to technological developments enabled
by exponential growth in computing power and
analysis. It has the potential to blur boundaries
between technology and humanity, and rapidly give
rise to novel and unpredictable global risks.
Global risk list
Table A.1 presents the list of 33 global risks
and definitions adopted by the Global Risks
Perception Survey 2025–2026.
To ensure legibility, the names of some of the
global risks have been abbreviated in the figures
throughout the report. The portion of the full name
used in the abbreviation is in bold in Table A.1.
SOCIETAL
Decline in health and
well-beingRegular or chronic impacts on physical and mental health and well-being that require substantive medical attention
and/or limit activities of daily living. Includes, but is not limited to: conditions linked to ageing; excessive consumption
habits; and climate change (including heatwaves) and pollution.
Erosion of human rights
and/or civic freedomsLoss of protections for rights inherent to all human beings, regardless of individual status, and/or the freedoms that
underpin civic space. Includes, but is not limited to the right to: life and liberty; work and education; freedom of
expression; peaceful assembly; non-discrimination based on gender, race ethnicity and other characteristics; and
privacy.
Inequality (wealth,
income)Present or perceived substantive disparities in the distribution of assets, wealth or income within or between
countries, resulting in material differences in related economic outcomes. Includes, but is not limited to: growing or
persistent poverty; and economic polarization.
Infectious diseases Spread of viruses, parasites, fungi or bacteria leading to a widespread loss of life and economic disruption. Includes,
but is not limited to: zoonotic diseases; releases of natural or man-made pathogens; resurgence of pre-existing
diseases due to lower levels of immunity; rise of antimicrobial resistance; and the impact of climate change and
environmental degradation on pathogens and their vectors.TABLE A.1 Definitions of global risks
Global Risks Report 2026
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