Global Risks Report 2026
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Appendix B
Global Risks Perception Survey 2025-2026
The Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS)
is the World Economic Forum’s source of original
risks data, harnessing the expertise of the Forum’s
extensive network of academic, business,
government, international organization, civil society
and other decision-makers and thought leaders.
Survey responses were collected from 12 August to
22 September 2025.
Updates to the GRPS 2025-2026
The list of 33 global risks included in the survey was
updated in 2025 as follows:
–“Cyber espionage and warfare” has been
renamed “Cyber insecurity” to update and clarify
the risk for respondents.
To ensure comparability over time, the fundamental
concept of each risk has remained broadly
consistent with that of previous versions of the
survey.
Methodology
The GRPS 2025–2026 was further refined this year
to gather more granular perceptions of risk and to
incorporate new approaches to risk management
and analysis. To that end, the GRPS 2025–2026
comprised six sections:
–Current risk landscape asked respondents to
select one risk among 33 pre-selected global
risks that they believe is most likely to present
a material crisis on a global scale in 2026.
The final rank is based on a simple tally of the
number of times a risk was identified. This has
remained the same as last year. The 33 risks
are listed in Appendix A above. Respondents
were also able to explain their reasoning in an
additional free-text field. Results are illustrated in
Chapter 1, Figure 2.
–Short- and long-term risks landscape asked
respondents to estimate the likely impact
(severity) of each of the 33 global risks, on a 1-7
scale [1 = Low severity, 7 = High severity], over
both two-year and 10-year periods. “Severity”
is meant to take into consideration the impact
on populations, the economy or environmental
resources on a global scale. Respondents
were also allowed to nominate any other risk
considered missing from the 33 risks. A simple average based on the scores selected was
calculated and the results are illustrated in
Chapter 1, Figure 10.
–Consequences seeks to understand the
potential consequences of risks, to create a
network map of the global risk landscape.
Respondents were provided with 10 randomly
selected global risks (from the full list of 33
global risks) and were then asked to select up
to five global risks (from the full list) likely to be
triggered by each of the 10 randomly selected
risks. Results are illustrated in Chapter 1, Figure
6. In visual results, “Nodes: Risk influence”
is based on a simple tally of all bidirectional
relationships identified by respondents. “Edges:
Relative influence” is based on a simple tally
of the number of times the risk was identified
as a consequence. However, visual results do
not show all connections: weaker relationships
identified by less than 25% of respondents were
not included as edges.
–Risk governance asked respondents to identify
approach(es) that they expect to have the most
potential for driving action on risk reduction
and preparedness over the next 10 years,
with respect to the most severe risks (severity
score of 6 or 7 over the 10-year timeframe).
Respondents could choose among the following
nine approaches: Financial instruments
(e.g. insurance, catastrophe bonds, public
risk pools); National and local regulations
(e.g. environmental, operational or financial
regulations and incentives); Minilateral treaties
and agreements (e.g. Basel, Wassenaar,
regional free trade agreements); Global
treaties and agreements (e.g. United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change
[UNFCC], Paris, Montreal, Nonproliferation
Treaty [NPT], World Trade Organization [WTO]);
Development assistance (e.g. international
aid for disaster risk response and reduction);
Corporate strategies (e.g. environmental
and social governance [ESG] reporting,
resilient supply chains, social initiatives,
public-private partnerships [PPPs]); Research
and development (e.g. new technologies,
early-warning systems, global risk research);
Public awareness and education (e.g.
campaigns, school curricula, media products);
Multistakeholder engagement (e.g. platforms
for exchanging knowledge, best practices,
alignment). A simple tally of the number of times
an approach was identified was calculated for
each risk. To ensure legibility, the names of
some of the global risks have been abbreviated
Global Risks Report 2026
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