Global Risks Report 2026

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in the figures. The portion of the full name used in the abbreviation is in bold in Table A.1. –Risk outlook asked respondents to characterize the evolution of the global risks landscape based on a number of factors. It first asked respondents to select a statement that they believe best characterizes the global political environment for cooperation on global risks in 10 years. Respondents were provided with four options: (1) Reinvigoration of the US-led, rules-based international order; (2) Multipolar or fragmented order in which middle and great powers contest, set and enforce regional rules and norms; (3) Bipolar or bifurcated order shaped by strategic competition between two superpowers; (4) Realignment towards a new international order led by an alternative superpower. Please note that option (1) was changed from “Continued or reinvigoration of the US-led, rules-based international order” from last year. A simple tally for each of the four options was calculated. Results are illustrated in Chapter 1, Figure 9. –Finally, respondents were asked to select a statement that best characterizes their outlook for the world over the next two and 10 years. Respondents were provided with the same five options for both time periods: (1) Calm: negligible risk of global catastrophes; (2) Stable: isolated disruptions, low risk of global catastrophes; (3) Unsettled: some instability, moderate risk of global catastrophes; (4) Turbulent: upheavals and elevated risk of global catastrophes; (5) Stormy: global catastrophic risks looming. A simple tally for each of the five options was calculated. Results are illustrated in Chapter 1, Figure 1. For 2025–2026, the risk outlook question for the world over the next two and 10 years also included five additional sub-questions, which asked respondents to indicate their outlook by risk category - geopolitical, economic, environmental, societal and technological. Completion thresholds A total of 1,564 responses to the GRPS were received. From these, 1,302 were used, based on the threshold of each response having at least one non-demographic answer, a minimum answer time of two minutes, and the filtering of multiple submissions based on browser cookies as well as partial responses that have overlapping IP-numbers and demographic answers with a fully recorded response. –Current risk landscape: 1,302 respondents selected at least one risk. –Short- and long-term risks landscape: 1,105 respondents evaluated the severity of at least one risk in one timeframe. –Consequences: 934 respondents paired at least one risk with one consequence. –Risk outlook: 903 respondents answered at least one question. –Global political environment for cooperation: 926 respondents answered. –Outlook for the world: 928 respondents answered over at least one timeframe, with the following number of respondents by new sub-questions. –Societal outlook for the world: 912 –Economic outlook for the world: 903 –Environmental outlook for the world: 913 –Technological outlook for the world: 914 –Geopolitical outlook for the world: 916 –Risk governance: 738 respondents selected at least one approach for at least one risk. –Sample distribution: 1,302 respondents who answered at least one non-demographic question were used to calculate the sample distribution by place of residence (region), gender, age, area of expertise and organization type. Figure B.1 presents some key descriptive statistics and information about the profiles of the respondents. Global Risks Report 2026 79
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