Global Risks Report 2026
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in the figures. The portion of the full name used
in the abbreviation is in bold in Table A.1.
–Risk outlook asked respondents to
characterize the evolution of the global risks
landscape based on a number of factors. It
first asked respondents to select a statement
that they believe best characterizes the global
political environment for cooperation on
global risks in 10 years. Respondents were
provided with four options: (1) Reinvigoration
of the US-led, rules-based international order;
(2) Multipolar or fragmented order in which
middle and great powers contest, set and
enforce regional rules and norms; (3) Bipolar
or bifurcated order shaped by strategic
competition between two superpowers; (4)
Realignment towards a new international order
led by an alternative superpower. Please note
that option (1) was changed from “Continued
or reinvigoration of the US-led, rules-based
international order” from last year. A simple tally
for each of the four options was calculated.
Results are illustrated in Chapter 1, Figure 9.
–Finally, respondents were asked to select a
statement that best characterizes their outlook
for the world over the next two and 10
years. Respondents were provided with the
same five options for both time periods: (1)
Calm: negligible risk of global catastrophes; (2)
Stable: isolated disruptions, low risk of global
catastrophes; (3) Unsettled: some instability,
moderate risk of global catastrophes; (4)
Turbulent: upheavals and elevated risk of global
catastrophes; (5) Stormy: global catastrophic
risks looming. A simple tally for each of the five
options was calculated. Results are illustrated
in Chapter 1, Figure 1. For 2025–2026, the risk
outlook question for the world over the next
two and 10 years also included five additional
sub-questions, which asked respondents
to indicate their outlook by risk category -
geopolitical, economic, environmental, societal
and technological.
Completion thresholds
A total of 1,564 responses to the GRPS were
received. From these, 1,302 were used, based
on the threshold of each response having at least
one non-demographic answer, a minimum answer
time of two minutes, and the filtering of multiple
submissions based on browser cookies as well as
partial responses that have overlapping IP-numbers
and demographic answers with a fully recorded
response. –Current risk landscape: 1,302 respondents
selected at least one risk.
–Short- and long-term risks landscape: 1,105
respondents evaluated the severity of at least
one risk in one timeframe.
–Consequences: 934 respondents paired at
least one risk with one consequence.
–Risk outlook: 903 respondents answered at
least one question.
–Global political environment for cooperation:
926 respondents answered.
–Outlook for the world: 928 respondents
answered over at least one timeframe, with
the following number of respondents by new
sub-questions.
–Societal outlook for the world: 912
–Economic outlook for the world: 903
–Environmental outlook for the world: 913
–Technological outlook for the world: 914
–Geopolitical outlook for the world: 916
–Risk governance: 738 respondents selected at
least one approach for at least one risk.
–Sample distribution: 1,302 respondents
who answered at least one non-demographic
question were used to calculate the sample
distribution by place of residence (region),
gender, age, area of expertise and organization
type.
Figure B.1 presents some key descriptive
statistics and information about the profiles of the
respondents.
Global Risks Report 2026
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