Insuring Against Extreme Heat Navigating Risks in a Warming World 2025
Page 5 of 30 · WEF_Insuring_Against_Extreme_Heat_Navigating_Risks_in_a_Warming_World_2025.pdf
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Earlier in 2024, the planet reached a concerning
milestone: each of the last 10 years has ranked as
the hottest on record. For the first time, the planet’s
average temperature over a 12-month period
rose 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels, currently
at 1.62ºC and surpassing the limits set by the Paris
Climate Accords. As stated by the UN Secretary-
General António Guterres, these prolonged periods
of extreme temperatures and increasingly frequent
and severe heatwaves are moving the world into an
“era of global boiling”.
Among the many climate risks impacting the
world, extreme heat may have the greatest
potential to threaten human health, physical
infrastructure and economic activity. It has a
uniquely far-reaching impact, affecting mental
health, educational outcomes, worker productivity,
transport networks, utility infrastructure, human
migration and political instability.1
More than perhaps any other stakeholder group,
the insurance industry stands at the forefront of an
evolving extreme heat risk landscape. This industry
works across various sectors – life, health, property
and agriculture – all of which face significant exposure
to extreme heat through property damage, crop loss,
infrastructure degradation, and significant increases
in mortality and morbidity. Additionally, insurers are
among the largest asset owners in the economy,
and the investment risks tied to extreme heat present
severe challenges for the industry moving forward.
The Forum’s Business on the Edge: Building
Industry Resilience to Climate Hazards report states
that extreme heat causes 72–73% of potential fixed
asset losses across industries over the next decade.
The business case for investing in climate resilience
and adaptation has never been clearer – each dollar
invested in climate resilience yields $13 in savings.2
Despite this compelling business case, 88% of climate
disaster financing is still allocated towards post-event
response rather than pre-event capacity building.
This fast-evolving risk landscape demands
a generation-defining commitment from the
insurance industry to address extreme heat. Insurers can and should play a critical role in
addressing extreme heat through their core products
and services, playing a leading role in developing
sector-specific and localized resilience strategies,
and derisking investment and mobilizing capital into
high-impact resilience and adaptation interventions.
Growing extreme heat impacts
Between May 2023 and May 2024, 6.3 billion
people (roughly four-fifths of the world’s population)
experienced at least one month of abnormally high
temperatures.3 Those living in prolonged periods of
extreme heat are struggling to adapt – poll workers
in India, street sweepers in Spain, farm workers in
the US and over 1,000 worshippers undertaking the
Hajj pilgrimage have all died from extreme heat this
year.4 An estimated 489,000 people die annually
from extreme heat, making it the deadliest climate
risk – killing more people than floods, hurricanes
and earthquakes combined.5,6 Mass human
migration fuelled by extreme heat is already taking
place, and the accumulating hazards of climate
change could drive food and water shortages,
which, in turn, foment political and civil unrest.7
By 2050, nearly half of the world’s population is
expected to live through dangerous heat levels
for at least one month of the year.8
The long-term impacts of rising temperatures on
the global financial system will likely be profound.
By 2050, extreme heat and related climate risks
could reduce the world economy by $23 trillion,9
with significantly higher losses in the Global South,
where nations have fewer resources to adapt their
infrastructure and economics. The impacts are
even more profound in highly exposed sectors
such as agriculture, construction, transport and
shipping. In the US alone by 2050, heat-fuelled
labour productivity loss is projected to reduce total
economic output in construction by 3.5% ($119
billion per year), manufacturing by 1.7% ($90 billion
per year) and agriculture by 3.8% ($13.07 billion
per year).10Extreme heat risk
landscape and the
age of global boiling
Extreme heat is a severe climate threat,
causing immediate health harm and
long-term strain on infrastructure and
the economy.
An estimated
489,000 people
die annually from
extreme heat,
making it the
deadliest climate
risk – killing more
people than
floods, hurricanes
and earthquakes
combined.
Insuring Against Extreme Heat: Navigating Risks in a Warming World
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