Navigating Global Financial System Fragmentation 2025
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Under the existing architecture, fragmentation
imposes the greatest costs on EMDEs. Decision-
makers can improve the global financial system
by changing its existing mechanics to better
accommodate the needs and interests of EMDEs.
For example, exempting climate finance vehicles
from restrictive statecraft measures could allow
EMDEs to mobilize resources more effectively.
Likewise, restructuring the governance bodies
of international financial institutions could afford
EMDEs greater input into the system’s design. The
following list highlights key areas for action.
Enhance domestic capacity in governance,
currencies and capital markets
Strong partnerships among governments, national
public financial institutions, the private sector
and MDBs can create conducive investment
environments, mitigate risks, improve liquidity
and effectively deploy investments.87 Closer
collaboration with other EMDEs and advanced
economies, IFIs and multinational corporations
can help strengthen regional capital markets and
domestic currencies through sound fiscal and
monetary policies and robust financial regulations.
Supporting EMDEs’ development and sovereignty
enables them to become custodians of a stable global
financial system that supports economic prosperity.88
The G7 and major emerging economies, including
China and India, can use positive economic statecraft
to enhance the resilience and capacity of EMDEs’
economies and capital markets, among other goals.
Recognized as ambitious and also debated, China’s
Belt and Road Initiative provided African countries with
over $20 billion in financing in 2023.89 Meanwhile, the
EU’s Global Gateway programme aims to mobilize
up to €150 billion in investments in Africa by 2027.90
Starting in 2025, a consortium of Indian banks is
providing a $300 million syndicated loan to finance
infrastructure investments in Africa.91 These initiatives
demonstrate how states can leverage positive
economic statecraft policies and encourage private
sector-led engagement to advance their interests
while fostering mutual economic benefits.
Increase representation for EMDEs
The current monetary architecture will likely
struggle to retain its centrality without increasing
EMDEs’ influence in the decision-making
processes of international financial institutions.
Possible reforms include:
–Redistributing quotas and recalibrating
voting shares
–Increasing the number of EMDE-representing
board chairs –Expanding G20 membership by focusing on
African representation
Depoliticize decision-making at IFIs
Appointing top officials based on broad
consensus and professional qualifications, rather
than political affiliations, would be beneficial for
fostering credibility and effectiveness within these
institutions. Furthermore, shifting operational
decision-making from the executive boards to
professional management can help reduce political
influence and enhance overall efficiency. By
implementing these reforms, IFIs can better serve
their purpose of promoting global financial stability
and development.92
Enhance EMDEs’ access to capital
Reforming MDBs could unlock an additional
$500 billion in annual lending. Key changes
include establishing more flexible lending criteria
and increasing the availability of low-cost and
concessional public financing. An overhaul of MDB
capital adequacy frameworks would enable more
low-cost loans, allow “loss and damage” facilities
to support vulnerable countries and speed the
disbursement of World Bank funds.93
Moreover, MDBs can increase flexibility in their
support for EMDEs by developing market-based
mechanisms to manage bondholder negotiations
in sovereign debt restructurings and by decoupling
MDB quotas and resource contributions from lending
practices. Improving climate finance is another critical
area for development, and IMF and World Bank
deliberations could use climate vulnerability as a
category of formal consideration. The G20 Common
Framework for Debt Treatments could also facilitate
EMDEs’ greater access to capital by including
debtor middle-income countries, setting timelines for
resolutions and ensuring that all creditors participate
in multilateral debt negotiations.94
Strengthen the global financial safety net
The GFSN requires urgent reforms to provide
essential global liquidity and help EMDEs manage
external financing vulnerabilities. Increasing
fragmentation is already reshaping bilateral swap
lines and regional financial arrangements, making
enhanced coordination between emerging financial
blocs even more essential.95 The IMF already plays
an established role in facilitating cross-border
collaboration and is positioned to lead efforts to
strengthen the monitoring of financial flows, improve
crisis-prevention mechanisms and coordinate
responses to economic disruptions.96
4.3 Reform the global financial system
Supporting
EMDEs’
development
and sovereignty
enables them to
become global
custodians of
a stable global
financial system
that supports
economic
prosperity.
Navigating Global Financial System Fragmentation
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