Reimagining Real Estate 2024
Page 12 of 48 · WEF_Reimagining_Real_Estate_2024.pdf
The commercial real estate capital markets have
experienced significant challenges in recent years,
with a historically abrupt increase in the cost of
capital, reduced availability of financing and general
economic uncertainty amid shifting demand for
space. The impact of these factors has been felt
globally, as rising borrowing costs and changing
investor sentiment have created a turbulent environment for transactions and capital allocation.
However, as the world enters a new phase of
economic stabilization and anticipates a more
favourable interest rate environment, the outlook for
real estate capital markets is improving. In advancing
the framework’s vision, favourable capital markets
are an essential condition, as progress depends on
consistently attracting private capital.
2.1 Capital markets
Recent challenges:
Over the past few years, global real estate
capital markets have navigated through a period
marked by economic instability, high inflation
and geopolitical uncertainties. A primary challenge
has been the rapid rise in interest rates, which has
affected the cost of capital and reduced access
to financing for both existing assets and new
developments. To combat inflation, the Federal
Reserve and other central banks around the world have implemented aggressive monetary policies,
resulting in elevated borrowing costs that have
put pressure on the real estate sector. Higher
interest rates have increased the cost of financing,
leading to lower asset valuations and a slowdown
in transaction activity. These forces have fomented
a challenging environment for owners and investors,
compelling them to reassess asset performance, re-
evaluate portfolios and recalibrate capital strategies
to better align with these new market dynamics and
build resilience into the capital stack.
Central bank policy rates FIGURE 3
9
03612
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025Global central bank rates. Average realized and expected monetary policy rates by region (percent)
Latin America Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa Asia US federal funds rateMarket
expectations
Source: Adrian, T., Natalucci, F. & Wu, J. (2024, 31 January). Emerging Markets Navigate Global Interest Rate Volatility. International Monetary Fund (IMF).
https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/01/31/emerging-markets-navigate-global-interest-rate-volatility.
Reimagining Real Estate: A Framework for the Future
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