Scaling the Industrial Transition 2025
Page 3 of 35 · WEF_Scaling_the_Industrial_Transition_2025.pdf
Foreword
The industrial transition has entered
its decisive period.
Across hard-to-abate sectors, the technologies
required to cut emissions are proven. About half
of industrial emissions can already be abated
with mature solutions; the rest will depend on
deeper innovation, stronger policy and enabling
infrastructure. The task ahead is rapidly scaling
solutions globally and profitably, ensuring the path
to net zero strengthens industrial competitiveness
and economic growth.
Scaling the Industrial Transition: Hard-to-
Abate Sectors and Net-Zero Progress in 2025,
developed by the World Economic Forum in
collaboration with Accenture, captures this pivotal
moment. Building on the Net-Zero Industry
Tracker framework, it assesses progress across
eight sectors that together account for nearly
40% of global greenhouse gas emissions.
This year’s analysis marks a moment of adjustment
and acceleration: progress is real but uneven. The
next phase will hinge less on breakthroughs and
more on deploying proven solutions that deliver
security, competitiveness and sustainability.
Clean technologies are advancing, but deployment
is constrained by high costs, policy fragmentation
and infrastructure gaps.
The focus is shifting from “Can we?” to “Can
we deploy at cost and at scale?” under tightening
economic, policy and energy constraints. Climate
policy is moving from voluntary ambition to enforced
accountability, but unevenly across regions,
complicating trade and investment. Artificial
intelligence (AI) and digitalization are projected to
drive nearly 10% of global electricity growth by
2030, forcing industries to secure low-carbon power.
Meanwhile, supply chain concentration in critical
minerals has become a key area topic of discussion.Four trends characterize this next phase:
1 Economic viability: Technologies are
available, but scale depends on cost
competitiveness, financing models and risk
sharing. A 5% rise in interest rates can raise
wind and solar costs by about 30%.
2 Integration: Synchronized investment in grids,
carbon dioxide and hydrogen infrastructure,
ports and industrial clusters is essential.
Grid spending, about $400 billion annually
today, may rise to $483 billion by 2030,
yet BloombergNEF (BNEF) estimates $811
billion per year will be required for net zero.
3 Accountability: Verified carbon intensity is
becoming central to licensing, financing and
trade. The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment
(CBAM) and expanding Emissions Trading
System (ETS) frameworks will cover over
45% of regional industrial emissions by 2030.
4 Innovation: Progress depends on
lowering the cost of capital, building shared
infrastructure and aligning global standards.
Fewer than 10% of hydrogen projects and
under half of carbon capture, utilization and
storage (CCUS) projects have reached final
investment decision (FID). The main barrier is
not technology, but a lack of clear policy and
reliable demand.
The transition is entering a more complex
phase marked by regional divergence and system
interdependence. Success will depend on how
effectively markets, governments and industries
align across demand, policy, infrastructure and capital
to make proven technologies investable at scale.
This paper calls for collective action to scale what
works today, de-risk the next wave of innovation
and deliver competitive, clean industrial systems.Roberto Bocca
Head, Centre for Energy
and Materials; Member of
the Executive Committee,
World Economic ForumDavid Rabley
Managing Director;
Global Energy Transition
Lead, Accenture
Scaling the Industrial Transition: Hard-to-Abate Sectors and Net-Zero Progress in 2025 December 2025
Scaling the Industrial Transition: Hard-to-Abate Sectors and Net-Zero Progress in 2025
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