The Cost of Inaction 2024
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Frequency and intensity of extreme events rise with temperature FIGURE 3
Some regions will suffer more than others – a glimpse of a 3°C world FIGURE 4Increase in frequency and intensity of extreme events1 under different warming scenarios
x for increase in frequency, °C for increase in temperature, % for increase in precipitation intensity
1.0x2.8x
1.3x4.1x
1.5x5.6x
1.7x9.4x
2.7x
+1.2°C
+7%+10%+14%
0°C
(1850-1 900 average)+1°C +1.5°C +2°C +4°C
Global warming scenariosCurrent temperature
increase
+1.9°C+2.6°CHotter
temperatures
Increase in
precipitation +30%+5.1°C
Average temperature Change in total annual precipitation
Likelihood of 1 year-plus droughts Change in frequency of historical “1-in-100-year” stormTemperature (0C) Change in precipitation (mm)
No data -30 — 0 1 — 7 8 — 14 15 — 25 26 — 31 32 — 60 No data < -100 -100 — -51 -50 — -26 -25 — +24 +25 — +49 +50 — + 1 00 > +100
Annual likelihood (%)
No data 0 — 10 11 — 33 34 — 50 51 — 67 68 — 90 91 — 100Times more/less frequent
No data < 1 1 2 3 — 4 > 4
1. Vs. 1850-1900 average; variation in frequency and intensity for extreme heat event or 1-day precipitation event that occurred on average once every 10 years in
a climate without human influence.
Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Source: Adapted from the Probable Futures climate tool.
The Cost of Inaction: A CEO Guide to Navigating Climate Risk
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