Travel and Tourism at a Turning Point 2025
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Evolving traveller profiles
The global traveller demographic composition
will undergo profound transformation driven by
emerging-market shifts, generational changes and
evolving preferences.
Estimates suggest that by 2030 India and China
will collectively account for more than 25% of
international outbound travel.27 With Indian travellers
tripling and Chinese travellers doubling their current
share, their preferences will shape the market.
Simultaneously, Millennials and Generation Z will
comprise most travellers, bringing in digital-native
behaviours. They will continue to fuel demand for
experiences and events,28 with most preferring live
experiences over purchasing items29 and relying
heavily on social media for inspiration.30 Content
creators and travel influencers have emerged as
powerful intermediaries, shaping travel decisions
and behaviours through their platforms, creating
both opportunities and responsibilities for promoting
sustainable, respectful tourism practices.
The pandemic accelerated hybrid traveller
segments, with blended travel31 projected to
expand at around 9% compound annual growth
rate (CAGR) by 2032 as remote work polices enable
location flexibility. Such shifts are accompanied
by evolving preferences (e.g. more than 50% of
business travellers want more blended travel trips
and in 2024 took at least two of them).32
These evolving traveller profiles create both
opportunities and challenges. Destinations and
business must develop varied offerings that serve
travellers while not diluting authenticity. Traditional
demographic marketing is becoming less effective
as motivational and behavioural factors increasingly
define traveller segments. Entities that develop
nuanced understandings of these profiles and adapt
their offerings will reap the greatest rewards.
Growing segments as drivers
Several segments emerge as significant growth
drivers, expanding at rates exceeding sector
averages.
Travelling to attend live events, including music
festivals and sports tourism, is growing at double-
digit rates. Sports tourism, where the tourist either
observes as a spectator or actively participates in
a sporting event, was valued at more than $609
billion in 2023 and is expected to reach more
than $1.7 trillion by 2032 (16% CAGR).33 Social
media platforms are key enablers for this growth
in trips as they promote tournaments and events.
Online shows and content on video platforms also encourage spectators to engage more, driving
higher attendance. Furthermore, participation by
recreational athletes in events such as marathons is
expected to continue.
Ecotourism is projected to expand at a rate of 14%
CAGR, reaching $760 billion by 2032.34 Among
the drivers are the rise in awareness of outdoor
recreational activities and in interest in sustainable
tourism. Wellness tourism is projected to increase
at 8% CAGR by 203435 as health consciousness
grows, creating demand for experiences that treat
mind and body (e.g. spa treatments, mindfulness
retreats and wellness programmes).
MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences and
exhibitions) is projected to grow at 9% CAGR
between 2025 and 2030, from $870 billion in
2024,36 outpacing the rest of the business travel
segment. This growth reflects the value of face-
to-face interaction even as technology provides
alternatives.
These segments offer opportunities to develop
specialized offerings for destinations and
organizations, while potentially addressing
seasonality challenges. Successfully entering these
segments requires investment, skills development
and marketing capabilities. Additionally, competition
is intensifying, even within countries, as these
opportunities are recognized – making distinctive
positioning and coordination increasingly important.
Stakeholders must carefully evaluate which
segments align with their capabilities rather than
pursuing all areas. Specialized segments can
also create opportunities to advance in broader
sustainability and inclusion objectives (e.g.
ecotourism’s conservation efforts).
Technology developments
as an enabler
Technological innovation has been transforming
every aspect of the T&T ecosystem – from traveller
inspiration and planning to business operations and
destination management – creating opportunities,
responsibilities and challenges.
The global travel technology market size, estimated
at $10.5 billion in 2024, is expected to nearly double
by 2033 (7.5% CAGR).37 This reflects widespread
adoption of transformative technologies and aligns
with broader industry trends. A recent survey
indicates that 91% of travel technology decision-
makers expect moderate to aggressive increases in
technology investment in their organizations.38
Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning
applications span the entire travel journey, from
chatbots to personalized recommendation engines. 231
91%
of travel technology
decision-makers expect
moderate to aggressive
increases in technology
investment in their
organizations.
Travel and Tourism at a Turning Point: Principles for Transformative Growth
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