Travel and Tourism at a Turning Point 2025
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Leading providers such as Trip.com use AI to
generate customized itineraries that combine
traveller preferences with real-time conditions and
historical data. Similarly, South Korea’s Yanolja
connects data, improves data quality and provides
AI services that aim to increase efficiency and level
the playing field for companies worldwide.
Internet of things (IoT) technologies create
environments that enhance guest experiences while
optimizing efficiency. Hospitality properties implement
these solutions for energy management, predictive
maintenance, contactless options and personalization,
while airports deploy connected systems for baggage
tracking and optimizing crowd flow.
Beyond operational applications, emerging
technologies such as augmented reality, virtual
reality and gamification also offer innovative
opportunities to engage younger generations
with cultural heritage destinations or attractions
by creating immersive experiences that preserve
authenticity while making traditions accessible and
meaningful to digital-native travellers.
These technologies are increasingly supported
by advanced connectivity solutions, which are
significantly faster than previous networks, thus
enabling more responsive and data-rich travel
applications. Biometric identification continues to revolutionize traveller processing, with facial
recognition, fingerprint scanning and other
technologies streamlining processes.
Hong Kong International Airport exemplifies these
trends. It introduced Flight Token, a biometric
system enabling seamless face-based navigation,
in 2021–2022, and nearly 90% of surveyed people
provided an excellent ranking to Airport Service
Quality.39 It also features the SKYTOPIA initiative,
which aspires to transform the traditional airport
into an airport city that combines aviation services
with retail, cultural and entertainment facilities to
enhance passenger experiences.
While technology offers tremendous potential
to enhance experiences, reduce frictions and
increase sustainability practices, implementation
challenges remain. The digital divide between
regions – TTDI 202440 scores for ICT (information
and communication technology readiness) range
from almost 5 in Asia Pacific to less than 3 in
Africa – limits equitable competition. Data privacy
and security concerns require careful navigation
of regulatory environments while maintaining the
expected personalization, especially as the sector
ranks third for cyberattacks and 70% of companies
have experienced data breaches.41 Workforce
implications include potential jobs displacement and
the creation of new roles requiring digital skills.
Risk of global disruptions
Travel and tourism historically faces sensitivity to
disruptive forces that can rapidly change market
dynamics, consumer behaviour and operational
realities. Building resilience against these disruptions
becomes critical for stability and long-term viability.
While exact figures remain speculative, cumulative
revenue losses for global tourism by 2030 due
to disruptions such as pandemics, geopolitical
events, climate change and regulatory shifts
could range from $3 trillion (moderate mitigation)
to $6 trillion (worst-case scenario).42 Proactive
policy coordination and sustainable transitions are
critical to minimizing these losses. The COVID-19
pandemic already demonstrated the sector’s
vulnerability, causing losses of approximately $4.5
trillion in GDP contribution in 2020.43
Recent events also highlight this vulnerability.
Geopolitical tensions are already having an impact
on travel patterns. Diplomatic friction between the
United States and Canada led to a substantial travel
boycott, with Canadian car travel to the US declining
by 32% in March 2025 and dropping by over 30%
in April and May 2025, compared to the previous
year.44 This decline is projected to potentially cost the US economy $6 billion. Similar declines have
been observed across other regions (e.g. travellers
to the US from Western Europe, Mexico and the
Caribbean).45 These shifts demonstrate how political
tensions can disrupt established travel corridors and
create cascading economic impacts.
The global risks ranked highest by world leaders
for the next two years include misinformation and
disinformation, extreme weather events, state-
based armed conflicts and societal polarization. In
the long term, the most anticipated risks ranked
by severity are mainly related to environmental
issues, with extreme weather events, biodiversity
loss and ecosystem collapse and critical changes
to Earth systems ranked as the top three.46
Without enhanced resiliency measures, continued
disruptions could result in sustained monetary
losses and a drop-off in job creation, threatening
livelihoods and the sector’s ability to meet demand.
The increasing frequency and intensity of global
disruptions (e.g. 50% increase in natural disaster
events in the past 30 years)47 create critical challenges
that traditional approaches might struggle to address.
Conventional forecasting and planning methodologies
become less effective in highly volatile environments,
requiring new uncertainty management techniques that
embrace scenario planning and adaptive strategies. 1.2 Tension points
4
Travel and Tourism at a Turning Point: Principles for Transformative Growth
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