Turning Challenge into Opportunity 2025
Page 25 of 79 · WEF_Turning_Challenge_into_Opportunity_2025.pdf
Insight: For utilization and economics,
the business case lives or dies on asset
productivity
For MHD fleets, electrification only pays off when
trucks stay busy, maintain payload margins and
power is bought optimally. In other words, fixed
costs are high, variable savings are real and
utilization is a key fulcrum. The TCO gap is often material versus diesel for long-haul use cases in the
short-term, without incentives. That gap narrows
as miles stack up, batteries and power electronics
become cheaper and electricity is procured on
smarter tariffs.
If the truck is doing over roughly 70,000 kilometres a year, we can make it the same
price as the diesel. Utilization really is the key to success on this.
Nicholas Mazzei, Vice President Sustainability, DP World
In real operations, the fleets that make the maths
work design lanes for repeatability (hub-to-hub,
back-to-base), deepen daily mileage and avoid
under-using large-capacity battery packs. Field
analysis of 91 electric tractor-trailers in 2025,
conducted by the International Council on Clean
Transportation, found that battery under-utilization
(e.g. ~44% average depth of battery discharge)
increased TCO, while higher daily distances plus
off-peak pricing or lower utility cost for electricity
improved economics.60 An additional utilization lever is time. When a
supplier evaluates the upfront cost of procuring
an electric truck relative to purchasing a diesel
internal combustion engine at time of purchase,
they are deterred by the BET’s premium. This cost
discrepancy narrows as the time interval in which
the BET operates grows. However, this highlights
the suppliers’ dilemma and the temptation to
hesitate before procuring BETs – given that second-
or third-generation BET technology may shorten the
time interval of this payback period further.
While the upfront cost of acquiring an electric truck is roughly double that of a
conventional diesel truck, the lower operating expenses over a seven-year period result
in a full payback. However, ongoing advancements in battery technology may affect
future cost and performance considerations.
Shaun O’Flaherty, Global Head of Products & Solutions, Toll Group
Moreover, a powerful near-term utilization
lever is not necessarily a new connector (the
physical charging interface and its standard) but
“orchestration” of the charging system itself. In
practice, charging system orchestration for BETs
means systematically coordinating when, where
and how trucks charge to reduce demand peaks,
minimize wait times and lower per -mile energy
costs. When fleets and stations coordinate charging
as a system, under-utilization rates and power
costs can decrease. Additionally, joint routing
and charging (JRC) optimization for heavy trucks
shows the potential for synchronizing stops with
station capacity and charger power to lower system
cost, which is exactly what many utilization-driven
operators want.61
Inside the fence, depot scheduling has delivered
outsized wins without touching hardware: one 2024 optimization model of an MHD depot comparing
optimized to managed scenarios found a reduction
in peak-hour energy demand of 64-75% monthly,
corresponding to roughly 53-63% reduction in
variable costs – these are savings that carry to
the P&L.62 At portfolio scale, pairing managed
charging with onsite distributed energy resources
(DERs), such as solar power and battery storage,
can reduce fleet electricity bills by up to 30% while
easing interconnection stress, turning “the power
bill” from a risk into a controllable line item.63
The US Government’s National Renewable Energy
Laboratory has documented how actively managed
charging (direct load control) can avoid or defer
costly grid and distribution upgrades by controlling
when and how vehicles charge to keep depot load
under electrical capacity limits – another way that
orchestration moves the economics.64 For logistics companies operating on extremely thin margins, even a slight increase
in pricing can be prohibitive. Addressing the green premium remains a significant
challenge.
Manosij Ganguli, Group Chief Sustainability Officer, Aramex
Turning Challenge into Opportunity: Supplier Voices from Heavy-Emitting Sectors
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